FUTU

Futu Holdings Limited

63
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

FUTU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over FUTU overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

FUTU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

FUTU's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FUTU.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

FUTU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x122x184x245x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x122x184x245x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.5x$95.62—
Cheap15x$155+63%
Fair22x$222+132%
Expensive73x$731+664%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FUTU has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FUTU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FUTU, with profitability improving.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FUTU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$142.23
Downside-32%$64.60

Calculated from the latest close: $95.62 on Nov 12.

FUTU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails FUTU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FUTU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.90Q1 2024: $3.77Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $4.06Q4 2024: $4.95Q1 2025: $5.95Q2 2025: $7.18Q3 2025: $8.89Q4 2025: $10.24Q1 2026: $9.06Q2 2026: $10.07
Q4 2023: $3.90Q1 2024: $3.77Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $4.06Q4 2024: $4.95Q1 2025: $5.95Q2 2025: $7.18Q3 2025: $8.89Q4 2025: $10.24Q1 2026: $9.06Q2 2026: $10.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$10.07+40%
Q1 2026$9.06+52%
Q4 2025$10.24+107%
Q3 2025$8.89+119%
Q2 2025$7.18+86%
Q1 2025$5.95+58%
Q4 2024$4.95+27%
Q3 2022$2.14-13%

FUTU's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $10.07 over the past year, up 40% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

FUTU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $338MQ4 2023: $302MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $399MQ3 2024: $438MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $676MQ3 2025: $816MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $746MQ2 2026: $918M
Q3 2023: $338MQ4 2023: $302MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $399MQ3 2024: $438MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $676MQ3 2025: $816MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $746MQ2 2026: $918M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$918.1M+36%
Q1 2026$745.9M+25%
Q4 2025$820.7M+45%
Q3 2025$815.6M+86%
Q2 2025$676.5M+70%
Q1 2025$598M+81%
Q4 2024$564.6M+87%
Q3 2024$437.7M+30%

FUTU has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

FUTU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

FUTU's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FUTU.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over FUTU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FUTU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 139MQ4 2023: 139MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 141MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 140M
Q3 2023: 139MQ4 2023: 139MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 141MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 140M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1.6M shares
1 year-0.6%-777K shares
3 years-0.1%-75.5K shares
5 years-3.6%-5.3M shares
Available history+7.4%+9.7M shares

FUTU has 140M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over FUTU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FUTU Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -7.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.6x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -7.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 2025-7.6xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.9xNet Cash

FUTU's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FUTU.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over FUTU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FUTU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.9Neutral
Stochastic17.6Oversold

FUTU's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FUTU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFUTUSector medianRelative
PE9.5x13x27% below
PE %06363 pts below

FUTU has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

FUTU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$103.17.2% below
20 week MA$106.210% below
50 week MA$128.826% below
100 week MA$129.726% below
200 week MA$94.61.1% above

FUTU has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.1% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over FUTU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FUTU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.93$37.9+281%
2021$37.9$40.9+8%
2022$40.9$62.1+52%
2023$62.1$54.6-12%
2024$54.6$82.8+52%
2025$82.8$165.2+99%
2026 YTD$165.2$95.6-42%

FUTU is down 42% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over FUTU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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