FUN

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

50
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

FUN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over FUN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

FUN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

FUN's cash flow is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

FUN PE Valuation

FUN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

FUN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

FUN has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FUN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$18.24
Downside-39%$6.86

Calculated from the latest close: $11.19 on Nov 12.

FUN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails FUN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FUN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.44Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2025: $-15.89Q1 2026: $-16.34Q2 2026: $-17.34Q3 2026: $-9.16
Q4 2023: $2.44Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2025: $-15.89Q1 2026: $-16.34Q2 2026: $-17.34Q3 2026: $-9.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$0.65-123%
Q2 2024$2.46-46%
Q1 2024$2.42-45%
Q4 2023$2.44-55%
Q3 2023$2.88-39%
Q2 2023$4.53+212%
Q1 2023$4.38+$4.86
Q4 2022$5.43+$6.30

NKE has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 1,509% for FUN versus NKE up 7.2%.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

FUN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $371MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $687MQ1 2025: $202MQ2 2025: $930MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $650MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $865MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $371MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $687MQ1 2025: $202MQ2 2025: $930MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $650MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $865MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-11%
Q2 2026$864.9M-7%
Q1 2026$225.6M+12%
Q4 2025$650.1M-5.4%
Q3 2025$1.3B-2.3%
Q2 2025$930.4M+63%
Q1 2025$202.1M+99%
Q4 2024$687.3M+85%

FUN has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

FUN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$168MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: −$126MQ1 2025: −$318MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $256MQ4 2025: −$109MQ1 2026: −$137MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $254M
Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$168MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: −$126MQ1 2025: −$318MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $256MQ4 2025: −$109MQ1 2026: −$137MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $254M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$254M-0.8%
Q2 2026$140.3M+645%
Q1 2026-$137.1M+$180.8M
Q4 2025-$109.3M+$16.5M
Q3 2025$256.2M+13%
Q1 2025-$318M-$150.3M
Q4 2024-$125.8M-$70.6M
Q3 2024$227.7M-16%

FUN has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

FUN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+137K shares
1 year+1%+984K shares
3 years+98%+50.5M shares
5 years+80%+45.2M shares
Available history+80%+45.2M shares

FUN has 102M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over FUN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FUN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 7.8xQ1 2025: 9.9xQ2 2025: 9.3x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 7.8xQ1 2025: 9.9xQ2 2025: 9.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20259.3xHigh
Q1 20259.9xHigh
Q4 20247.8xHigh
Q3 20248.9xHigh
Q2 20244.7xHigh
Q1 20245.3xHigh
Q4 20234.9xHigh
Q3 20234.6xHigh

FUN's net debt is about 9.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.7 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FUN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic25.9Neutral

FUN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

FUN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFUNSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

FUN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

FUN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.8613% above
20 week MA$13.920% below
50 week MA$16.532% below
100 week MA$24.354% below
200 week MA$33.266% below

FUN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 66% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

FUN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.7$39.1-30%
2021$39.1$50.0+28%
2022$50.0$39.9-20%
2023$39.9$39.8-0.3%
2024$39.8$49.1+23%
2025$49.1$14.9-70%
2026 YTD$14.9$11.2-25%

FUN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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