FTNT

Fortinet, Inc.

79
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

FTNT has the edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

FTNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

FTNT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FTNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$130—
Cheap40x$122-5.5%
Current42x$130—
Fair54x$164+27%
Expensive71x$218+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTNT's PE is in its cheap range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over FTNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FTNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

FTNT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

FTNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$194.65
Downside-14%$111.12

Calculated from the latest close: $129.54 on Nov 12.

FTNT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails FTNT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FTNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.46Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.43Q4 2025: $2.42Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $3.07Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $1.46Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.43Q4 2025: $2.42Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $3.07Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76+23%
Q3 2026$3.07+26%
Q2 2026$2.83+13%
Q1 2026$2.58+6.2%
Q4 2025$2.42+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.43+22%
Q2 2025$2.51+48%
Q1 2025$2.43+58%
Q4 2024$2.26+55%

FTNT has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

FTNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+20%
Q2 2026$2B+26%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025$1.9B+15%
Q3 2025$1.7B+14%
Q2 2025$1.6B+14%
Q1 2025$1.5B+14%
Q4 2024$1.7B+17%

FTNT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $2.1B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over FTNT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FTNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $609MQ2 2024: $319MQ3 2024: $572MQ4 2024: $380MQ1 2025: $797MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $577MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $966MQ3 2026: $882M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $609MQ2 2024: $319MQ3 2024: $572MQ4 2024: $380MQ1 2025: $797MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $577MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $966MQ3 2026: $882M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$881.8M+55%
Q2 2026$965.6M+240%
Q1 2026$1B+26%
Q4 2025$577.4M+52%
Q3 2025$567.5M-0.8%
Q2 2025$284.1M-11%
Q1 2025$796.8M+31%
Q4 2024$380M+131%

FTNT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

FTNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 788MQ1 2024: 771MQ2 2024: 770MQ3 2024: 772MQ4 2024: 772MQ1 2025: 777MQ2 2025: 773MQ3 2025: 761MQ4 2025: 765MQ1 2026: 743MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 743M
Q4 2023: 788MQ1 2024: 771MQ2 2024: 770MQ3 2024: 772MQ4 2024: 772MQ1 2025: 777MQ2 2025: 773MQ3 2025: 761MQ4 2025: 765MQ1 2026: 743MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 743M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+2.7M shares
1 year-2.4%-18.6M shares
3 years-6.1%-48.6M shares
5 years-11%-95.9M shares
Available history-15%-132M shares

FTNT has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FTNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

FTNT has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FTNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

FTNT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

FTNT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFTNTSector medianRelative
PE42x28x51% above
PE %203515 pts below

FTNT is trading at 42x earnings, a 51% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over FTNT on valuation relative to its sector.

FTNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$160.319% below
20 week MA$159.719% below
50 week MA$121.66.5% above
100 week MA$107.920% above
200 week MA$87.149% above

FTNT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 49% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over FTNT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FTNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$30.0+39%
2021$30.0$69.8+133%
2022$69.8$48.7-30%
2023$48.7$58.5+20%
2024$58.5$96.1+64%
2025$96.1$81.6-15%
2026 YTD$81.6$129.5+59%

FTNT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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