FSLR

First Solar, Inc.

75
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

FSLR's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 10x earnings, about half its usual 21x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FSLR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Stable
Strong

FSLR's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

FSLR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE151x301x452x602x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE151x301x452x602x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.9x$172—
Current10x$172—
Cheap15x$261+52%
Fair21x$357+107%
Expensive98x$1,693+883%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSLR's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.9x next year's earnings.

FSLR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSLR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FSLR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$302.36
Downside-19%$139.87

Calculated from the latest close: $172.30 on Nov 12.

FSLR's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +75% against −19%.

FSLR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.74Q1 2024: $9.54Q2 2024: $11.20Q3 2024: $11.61Q4 2024: $12.02Q1 2025: $11.77Q2 2025: $11.70Q3 2025: $13.03Q4 2025: $14.21Q1 2026: $15.48Q2 2026: $16.22Q3 2026: $17.28Forward: $21.83
Q4 2023: $7.74Q1 2024: $9.54Q2 2024: $11.20Q3 2024: $11.61Q4 2024: $12.02Q1 2025: $11.77Q2 2025: $11.70Q3 2025: $13.03Q4 2025: $14.21Q1 2026: $15.48Q2 2026: $16.22Q3 2026: $17.28Forward: $21.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$21.83+26%
Q3 2026$17.28+33%
Q2 2026$16.22+39%
Q1 2026$15.48+32%
Q4 2025$14.21+18%
Q3 2025$13.03+12%
Q2 2025$11.70+4.5%
Q1 2025$11.77+23%
Q4 2024$12.02+55%

FSLR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.28 over the past year, up 33% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

FSLR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $794MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $888MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $845MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $794MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $888MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $845MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-23%
Q2 2026$1.1B-3.7%
Q1 2026$1B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+11%
Q3 2025$1.6B+80%
Q2 2025$1.1B+8.6%
Q1 2025$844.6M+6.4%
Q4 2024$1.5B+31%

FSLR's revenue has held roughly level: $1.2B last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

FSLR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $214MQ1 2024: −$146MQ2 2024: −$172MQ3 2024: −$488MQ4 2024: $497MQ1 2025: −$814MQ2 2025: −$139MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$333MQ2 2026: −$306MQ3 2026: −$198M
Q4 2023: $214MQ1 2024: −$146MQ2 2024: −$172MQ3 2024: −$488MQ4 2024: $497MQ1 2025: −$814MQ2 2025: −$139MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$333MQ2 2026: −$306MQ3 2026: −$198M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$197.8M-118%
Q2 2026-$306.2M-$167.7M
Q1 2026-$333.4M+$480.6M
Q4 2025$1.1B+115%
Q3 2025$1.1B+$1.6B
Q2 2025-$138.6M+$33.6M
Q1 2025-$813.9M-$668.2M
Q4 2024$497.5M+132%

FSLR has burned cash in most quarters: $233M over the past year, down 62% from the year before.

FSLR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-30K shares
1 year+0.2%+164K shares
3 years+0.2%+204K shares
5 years+0.8%+803K shares
Available history+2.3%+2.4M shares

FSLR has 108M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FSLR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

FSLR has more cash than debt.

FSLR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic16.6Oversold

FSLR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

FSLR PE vs Energy Sector

MetricFSLRSector medianRelative
PE10x13x24% below
PE %06161 pts below

FSLR is trading at 10x earnings, a 24% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

FSLR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.83.1% below
20 week MA$200.214% below
50 week MA$219.722% below
100 week MA$200.914% below
200 week MA$195.812% below

FSLR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.

FSLR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.4$102.4+82%
2021$102.4$87.4-15%
2022$87.4$156.8+79%
2023$156.8$172.3+9.9%
2024$172.3$182.6+6%
2025$182.6$269.7+48%
2026 YTD$269.7$172.3-36%

FSLR is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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