FSBC

Five Star Bancorp

58
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FSBC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over FSBC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

FSBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

FSBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSBC.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x8.1x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x8.1x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$28.53-36%
Fair12x$40.74-8%
Forward12x$44.30—
Current13x$44.30—
Expensive14x$47.69+7.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSBC's PE is in its fair range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over FSBC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FSBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSBC, but weaker profitability.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over FSBC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

FSBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$53.83
Downside-12%$38.93

Calculated from the latest close: $44.30 on Nov 12.

FSBC trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FSBC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FSBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.78Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.40Q3 2024: $2.28Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $2.68Q4 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.38Q3 2026: $3.53Forward: $3.61
Q4 2023: $2.78Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.40Q3 2024: $2.28Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $2.68Q4 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.38Q3 2026: $3.53Forward: $3.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.61+2.4%
Q3 2026$3.53+32%
Q2 2026$3.38+39%
Q1 2026$3.15+39%
Q4 2025$2.90+28%
Q3 2025$2.68+18%
Q2 2025$2.43+1.3%
Q1 2025$2.26-14%
Q4 2024$2.26-19%

FSBC has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

FSBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$52.6M+27%
Q2 2026$48M+25%
Q1 2026$45.1M+28%
Q4 2025$43.5M+24%
Q3 2025$41.3M+30%
Q2 2025$38.3M+25%
Q1 2025$35.3M+24%
Q4 2024$35.2M+23%

FSBC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $53M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over FSBC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FSBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $139,000Q2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $139,000Q2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.1M+41%
Q2 2026$23.2M+32%
Q1 2026$18.8M+22%
Q4 2025$19.9M+11%
Q3 2025$18.6M+7.3%
Q2 2025$17.5M+11%
Q1 2025$15.4M+10959%
Q4 2024$17.9M+$19.7M

FSBC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+11%+2.4M shares
1 year+11%+2.4M shares
3 years+38%+6.5M shares
5 years+38%+6.6M shares

FSBC has 24M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over FSBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FSBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.5xVery low
Q2 20240.7xVery low
Q1 20242.5xModerate
Q4 20233.2xElevated
Q3 20231.9xHealthy

FSBC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBC.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic42.9Neutral

FSBC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FSBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFSBCSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.6% below
PE %62653 pts below

FSBC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FSBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.81.1% above
20 week MA$45.62.8% below
50 week MA$42.15.3% above
100 week MA$36.223% above
200 week MA$30.346% above

FSBC has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

FSBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.9$29.0+16%
2022$29.0$27.4-5.5%
2023$27.4$26.2-4.5%
2024$26.2$30.2+15%
2025$30.2$36.5+21%
2026 YTD$36.5$44.3+21%

FSBC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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