FSBC
Five Star Bancorp
FSBC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over FSBC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
FSBC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FSBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSBC.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FSBC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $28.53 | -36% |
| Fair | 12x | $40.74 | -8% |
| Forward | 12x | $44.30 | — |
| Current | 13x | $44.30 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $47.69 | +7.7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FSBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
FSBC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSBC, but weaker profitability.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over FSBC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
FSBC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.61 | +2.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.53 | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.38 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.15 | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.90 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.68 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.43 | +1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.26 | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.26 | -19% |
FSBC earned $3.53 per share over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over FSBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FSBC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $52.6M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $48M | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $45.1M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $43.5M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.3M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.3M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.3M | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.2M | +23% |
FSBC has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 56% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 56% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 53% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 54% | +5.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 52% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 52% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +2.1 points |
FSBC has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FSBC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.1M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.2M | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $18.8M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.9M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.6M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.4M | +10959% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | +$19.7M |
FSBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FSBC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +11% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +2.4M shares |
| 3 years | +38% | +6.5M shares |
| 5 years | +38% | +6.6M shares |
FSBC has 24M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over FSBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
FSBC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2023 | 1.9x | Healthy |
FSBC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBC.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FSBC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.9 | Neutral |
FSBC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FSBC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FSBC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 3.6% below |
| PE % | 62 | 65 | 3 pts below |
FSBC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
FSBC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.8 | 1.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $45.6 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $42.1 | 5.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $36.2 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.3 | 46% above |
FSBC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
FSBC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $24.9 | $29.0 | +16% |
| 2022 | $29.0 | $27.4 | -5.5% |
| 2023 | $27.4 | $26.2 | -4.5% |
| 2024 | $26.2 | $30.2 | +15% |
| 2025 | $30.2 | $36.5 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.5 | $44.3 | +21% |
FSBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.