FRME

First Merchants Corporation

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FRME's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over FRME overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

FRME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FRME's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FRME.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

FRME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$28.35-31%
Forward9.7x$40.94—
Fair11x$35.18-14%
Expensive13x$41.89+2.3%
Current13x$40.94—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRME's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over FRME in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FRME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRME, with profitability holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

FRME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.15
Downside-15%$34.86

Calculated from the latest close: $40.94 on Nov 12.

FRME trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FRME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FRME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+31%
Q3 2026$3.22-19%
Q2 2026$3.11-19%
Q1 2026$3.39-4.5%
Q4 2025$3.88+14%
Q3 2025$3.99+32%
Q2 2025$3.85+23%
Q1 2025$3.55+2.6%
Q4 2024$3.41-8.6%

FRME's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.22 over the past year, against $4.36 in mid-2023.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over FRME on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FRME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$199.1M+20%
Q2 2026$196.1M+19%
Q1 2026$157.1M-2%
Q4 2025$172.2M-2.8%
Q3 2025$166.1M+6.5%
Q2 2025$164.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$160.3M+4.3%
Q4 2024$177.1M+13%

FRME's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $199M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over FRME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FRME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.4M-10%
Q2 2026$88M+64%
Q1 2026$58.6M-5%
Q4 2025$80.7M+20%
Q3 2025$87.6M+14%
Q2 2025$53.7M-15%
Q1 2025$61.7M+4.8%
Q4 2024$67.5M-22%

FRME has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FRME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-163K shares
1 year+8.6%+5M shares
3 years+4.9%+2.9M shares
5 years+16%+8.5M shares
Available history+12%+6.9M shares

FRME has 62M diluted shares, up 8.6% from a year ago, despite $61M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over FRME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FRME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xElevated
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

FRME's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over FRME on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FRME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic42.5Neutral

FRME's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

FRME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFRMESector medianRelative
PE13x13x2.4% below
PE %796316 pts above

FRME has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FRME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.31.6% above
20 week MA$41.71.8% below
50 week MA$40.41.3% above
100 week MA$39.73.2% above
200 week MA$36.911% above

FRME's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

FRME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$36.8-11%
2021$36.8$41.2+12%
2022$41.2$40.5-1.6%
2023$40.5$37.1-8.5%
2024$37.1$40.3+8.5%
2025$40.3$38.3-4.9%
2026 YTD$38.3$40.9+7%

FRME has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key