FRME
First Merchants Corporation
FRME has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over FRME overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
FRME Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FRME's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FRME.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
FRME PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.8x | $28.35 | -31% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $40.94 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $35.18 | -14% |
| Expensive | 13x | $41.89 | +2.3% |
| Current | 13x | $40.94 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FRME's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over FRME in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
FRME Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRME, with profitability holding steady.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
FRME Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.21 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.22 | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.11 | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.39 | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.88 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.99 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.85 | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.55 | +2.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.41 | -8.6% |
FRME's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.22 over the past year, against $4.36 in mid-2023.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FRME Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $199.1M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $196.1M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $157.1M | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $172.2M | -2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $166.1M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $164.3M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $160.3M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $177.1M | +13% |
FRME's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $199M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 38% | -5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 39% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +13 points |
FRME's operating margin was 40% last quarter, up 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FRME Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $78.4M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $88M | +64% |
| Q1 2026 | $58.6M | -5% |
| Q4 2025 | $80.7M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $87.6M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $53.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.7M | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $67.5M | -22% |
FRME's free cash flow was $306M over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FRME Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -163K shares |
| 1 year | +8.6% | +5M shares |
| 3 years | +4.9% | +2.9M shares |
| 5 years | +16% | +8.5M shares |
| Available history | +12% | +6.9M shares |
FRME has 62M diluted shares, up 8.6% from a year ago, despite $61M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12M |
| Q2 2026 | $13.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $24.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $22.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $7.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $6.2M |
FRME spent $61M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
FRME Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
FRME's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over FRME on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FRME Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.5 | Neutral |
FRME's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
FRME PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FRME | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 2.4% below |
| PE % | 79 | 63 | 16 pts above |
FRME has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
FRME Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.3 | 1.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $41.7 | 1.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $40.4 | 1.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $39.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 11% above |
FRME has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
FRME Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.3 | $36.8 | -11% |
| 2021 | $36.8 | $41.2 | +12% |
| 2022 | $41.2 | $40.5 | -1.6% |
| 2023 | $40.5 | $37.1 | -8.5% |
| 2024 | $37.1 | $40.3 | +8.5% |
| 2025 | $40.3 | $38.3 | -4.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.3 | $40.9 | +7% |
FRME has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.