FRME

First Merchants Corporation

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FRME's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over FRME overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

FRME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FRME's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FRME.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

FRME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$28.35-31%
Forward9.7x$40.94—
Fair11x$35.18-14%
Expensive13x$41.89+2.3%
Current13x$40.94—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRME has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FRME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRME, with profitability holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FRME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.15
Downside-15%$34.86

Calculated from the latest close: $40.94 on Nov 12.

FRME has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails FRME on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FRME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+31%
Q3 2026$3.22-19%
Q2 2026$3.11-19%
Q1 2026$3.39-4.5%
Q4 2025$3.88+14%
Q3 2025$3.99+32%
Q2 2025$3.85+23%
Q1 2025$3.55+2.6%
Q4 2024$3.41-8.6%

FRME's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.22 over the past year, against $4.36 in mid-2023.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over FRME on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FRME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$199.1M+20%
Q2 2026$196.1M+19%
Q1 2026$157.1M-2%
Q4 2025$172.2M-2.8%
Q3 2025$166.1M+6.5%
Q2 2025$164.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$160.3M+4.3%
Q4 2024$177.1M+13%

FRME's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $199M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over FRME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FRME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.4M-10%
Q2 2026$88M+64%
Q1 2026$58.6M-5%
Q4 2025$80.7M+20%
Q3 2025$87.6M+14%
Q2 2025$53.7M-15%
Q1 2025$61.7M+4.8%
Q4 2024$67.5M-22%

FRME has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

FRME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-163K shares
1 year+8.6%+5M shares
3 years+4.9%+2.9M shares
5 years+16%+8.5M shares
Available history+12%+6.9M shares

FRME has 62M diluted shares, up 8.6% from a year ago, despite $61M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over FRME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FRME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xElevated
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

FRME's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over FRME on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FRME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic42.5Neutral

FRME's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FRME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFRMESector medianRelative
PE13x13x2.4% below
PE %796316 pts above

FRME has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

FRME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.31.6% above
20 week MA$41.71.8% below
50 week MA$40.41.3% above
100 week MA$39.73.2% above
200 week MA$36.911% above

FRME has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

FRME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$36.8-11%
2021$36.8$41.2+12%
2022$41.2$40.5-1.6%
2023$40.5$37.1-8.5%
2024$37.1$40.3+8.5%
2025$40.3$38.3-4.9%
2026 YTD$38.3$40.9+7%

FRME has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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