FRD

Friedman Industries, Incorporated

69
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

FRD's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 74% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 8.3%. At 6.7x earnings, it's trading below its usual 8.3x.

FRD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

FRD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

FRD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.9x$22.07-42%
Current6.7x$38.16—
Fair8.2x$47.04+23%
Expensive15x$86.03+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRD's PE is in its fair range at 6.7x.

FRD Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for FRD to show an outlook.

FRD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$52.36
Downside-19%$30.93

Calculated from the latest close: $38.16 on Nov 12.

FRD's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +37% against −19%.

FRD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.51Q1 2024: $2.39Q2 2024: $1.72Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $0.81Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $1.21Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.76Q2 2026: $3.84Q3 2026: $5.71
Q4 2023: $2.51Q1 2024: $2.39Q2 2024: $1.72Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $0.81Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $1.21Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.76Q2 2026: $3.84Q3 2026: $5.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.71+250%
Q2 2026$3.84+217%
Q1 2026$2.76+217%
Q4 2025$2.23+175%
Q3 2025$1.63+43%
Q2 2025$1.21-30%
Q1 2025$0.87-64%
Q4 2024$0.81-68%

FRD's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $5.71 over the past year, up from $1.63 the year before.

FRD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $94MQ1 2025: $129MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $168MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $287M
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $94MQ1 2025: $129MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $168MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $287M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$286.8M+88%
Q2 2026$240M+78%
Q1 2026$191.8M+48%
Q4 2025$168M+79%
Q3 2025$152.4M+43%
Q2 2025$134.8M+18%
Q1 2025$129.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$94.1M-19%

FRD's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $287M last quarter, up 88% from the same quarter a year ago.

FRD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4M+$4.4M
Q2 2026$5.1M-63%
Q1 2026-$4M+$8.8M
Q4 2025-$6.3M-509%
Q3 2025-$2M-120%
Q2 2025$13.7M+$20.8M
Q1 2025-$12.8M-534%
Q4 2024$1.6M-92%

FRD's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against $449,000 the year before.

FRD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+17.1K shares
3 years-4.2%-306K shares
5 years+1.2%+79.5K shares
Available history-0.2%-16.5K shares

FRD has 7M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FRD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 7.0xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 7.0xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20257.0xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

FRD's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.

FRD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.2Neutral
Stochastic33.8Neutral

FRD's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

FRD PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricFRDSector medianRelative
PE6.7x19x64% below
PE %36404 pts below

FRD is trading at 6.7x earnings, a 64% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

FRD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.14.9% below
20 week MA$39.94.3% below
50 week MA$28.833% above
100 week MA$23.165% above
200 week MA$18.8103% above

FRD has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 103% above its 200-week average.

FRD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.07$6.80+12%
2021$6.80$9.47+39%
2022$9.47$9.95+5.1%
2023$9.95$15.5+55%
2024$15.5$15.6+0.7%
2025$15.6$20.7+33%
2026 YTD$20.7$38.2+85%

FRD has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 85% so far in 2026.

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