FPS

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.

65
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

FPS has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

FPS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FPS PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$22.15—
Current53x$22.15—
Cheap74x$31.02+40%
Fair111x$46.45+110%
Expensive140x$58.82+166%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FPS's PE is 53x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FPS, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

FPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$39.11
Downside-42%$12.91

Calculated from the latest close: $22.15 on Nov 12.

FPS trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FPS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FPS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $0.00Q2 2026: $0.28Q3 2026: $0.42Forward: $1.52
Q1 2026: $0.00Q2 2026: $0.28Q3 2026: $0.42Forward: $1.52

FPS and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

FPS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2024: $154MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $379MQ2 2026: $462MQ3 2026: $479M
Q3 2024: $154MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $379MQ2 2026: $462MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$478.6M+69%
Q2 2026$461.7M+94%
Q3 2025$283.3M+84%

FPS has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

FPS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2024: $9MQ2 2025: −$48MQ3 2025: −$24MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $937,000Q2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $104M
Q3 2024: $9MQ2 2025: −$48MQ3 2025: −$24MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $937,000Q2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$104.4M+$128.4M
Q2 2026$19.1M+$67.4M
Q3 2025-$24M-369%

FPS and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

FPS Total Shares

Q3 2024: 231MQ2 2025: 231MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 304MQ1 2026: 304MQ2 2026: 304MQ3 2026: 274M
Q3 2024: 231MQ2 2025: 231MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 304MQ1 2026: 304MQ2 2026: 304MQ3 2026: 274M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-10%-30.4M shares
1 year+19%+43.2M shares

FPS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

FPS Net Leverage

Q1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20264.6xHigh

FPS's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic13.6Oversold

FPS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FPS PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.327% below
20 week MA$34.436% below

RDW has stronger trend alignment. FPS is above 0 of 2 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

FPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$33.8$22.2-34%

It's down 34% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over FPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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