FOR

Forestar Group Inc.

36
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

FOR's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 12%, while its operating margin held steady at 13%. At 6.7x earnings, it's trading below its usual 8.4x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.

FOR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FOR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like FOR.

FOR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.4x15x22x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.4x15x22x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$19.82-11%
Current6.7x$22.24—
Fair8.4x$27.99+26%
Forward9.8x$22.24—
Expensive14x$47.98+116%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FOR's PE is in its cheap range at 6.7x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 9.8x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

FOR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect FOR's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FOR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$27.78
Downside-21%$17.67

Calculated from the latest close: $22.24 on Nov 12.

FOR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −21%.

FOR Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.67Q1 2024: $4.02Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $4.00Q4 2024: $3.56Q1 2025: $3.29Q2 2025: $3.18Q3 2025: $3.29Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.28Q2 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.27
Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.67Q1 2024: $4.02Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $4.00Q4 2024: $3.56Q1 2025: $3.29Q2 2025: $3.18Q3 2025: $3.29Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.28Q2 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.27-32%
Q2 2026$3.33+4.7%
Q1 2026$3.28-0.3%
Q4 2025$3.27-8.1%
Q3 2025$3.29-18%
Q2 2025$3.18-17%
Q1 2025$3.29-18%
Q4 2024$3.56-3%
Q3 2024$4.00+20%

FOR earned $3.33 per share over the past year, up 4.7% from the year before.

FOR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $550MQ4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $334MQ2 2024: $318MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: $250MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $391MQ3 2025: $671MQ4 2025: $273MQ1 2026: $374MQ2 2026: $407M
Q3 2023: $550MQ4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $334MQ2 2024: $318MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: $250MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $391MQ3 2025: $671MQ4 2025: $273MQ1 2026: $374MQ2 2026: $407M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$407M+4.2%
Q1 2026$374.3M+6.6%
Q4 2025$273M+9%
Q3 2025$670.5M+22%
Q2 2025$390.5M+23%
Q1 2025$351M+5.2%
Q4 2024$250.4M-18%
Q3 2024$551.4M+0.3%

FOR's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $407M last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

FOR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $227MQ4 2023: −$157MQ1 2024: −$60MQ2 2024: −$62MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$450MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $256MQ4 2025: −$157MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $33M
Q3 2023: $227MQ4 2023: −$157MQ1 2024: −$60MQ2 2024: −$62MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$450MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $256MQ4 2025: −$157MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$32.7M+118%
Q1 2026$151.7M+$172.2M
Q4 2025-$157.1M+$292.9M
Q3 2025$255.6M+116%
Q2 2025$15M+$77.3M
Q1 2025-$20.5M+$39.3M
Q4 2024-$450M-$293.1M
Q3 2024$118.4M-48%

FOR's free cash flow was $283M over the past year, against −$337M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like FOR.

FOR Total Shares

Q3 2023: 50MQ4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51M
Q3 2023: 50MQ4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+40.8K shares
1 year+0.5%+246K shares
3 years+2.1%+1.1M shares
5 years+3.5%+1.7M shares
Available history+22%+9.2M shares

FOR has 51M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FOR Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.7x
Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20242.8xModerate
Q3 20240.8xVery low

FOR's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like FOR.

FOR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.9Oversold
Stochastic2.6Oversold

FOR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

FOR PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricFORSector medianRelative
PE6.7x24x72% below
PE %2323Same percentile

FOR is trading at 6.7x earnings, a 72% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

FOR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.911% below
20 week MA$27.218% below
50 week MA$27.118% below
100 week MA$25.312% below
200 week MA$26.516% below

FOR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

FOR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.8$21.3+2.5%
2021$21.3$21.4+0.3%
2022$21.4$15.1-29%
2023$15.1$33.1+118%
2024$33.1$25.7-22%
2025$25.7$24.5-4.6%
2026 YTD$24.5$22.2-9.3%

FOR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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