FNWD
Finward Bancorp
FNWD has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
FNWD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FNWD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FNWD.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FNWD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8x | $18.26 | -58% |
| Fair | 10x | $22.94 | -47% |
| Forward | 14x | $43.66 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $42.01 | -3.8% |
| Current | 25x | $43.66 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FNWD's PE is 25x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over FNWD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
FNWD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FNWD, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
FNWD Earnings Per Share
FNWD and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
FNWD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $17.6M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.5M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.5M | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.4M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.5M | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.3M | +5.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $14.9M | -4.2% |
FNWD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $18M last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -5.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | -37 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 2.7% | -8.9 points |
FNWD's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over FNWD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over FNWD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FNWD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.5M | +0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5M | +$7.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $7.5M | -29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1M | +$5.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5M | +302% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4M | -$3.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.6M | +617% |
| Q3 2024 | -$4.2M | -186% |
FNWD has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FNWD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +16.8K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +22.6K shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +60.4K shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +841K shares |
| Available history | +25% | +867K shares |
FNWD has 4M diluted shares, up 0.5% from a year ago.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over FNWD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
FNWD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
FNWD has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FNWD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.1 | Neutral |
FNWD's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FNWD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FNWD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 13x | 89% above |
| PE % | 94 | 63 | 31 pts above |
FNWD is trading at 25x earnings, a 89% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over FNWD on valuation relative to its sector.
FNWD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $42.9 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $42.4 | 3.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $38.3 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $34.1 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.2 | 45% above |
FNWD has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
FNWD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $45.9 | $35.4 | -23% |
| 2021 | $35.4 | $49.6 | +40% |
| 2022 | $49.6 | $36.5 | -26% |
| 2023 | $36.5 | $25.2 | -31% |
| 2024 | $25.2 | $28.8 | +14% |
| 2025 | $28.8 | $36.9 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.9 | $43.7 | +18% |
FNWD has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.