FNF
Fidelity National Financial, Inc.
FNF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over FNF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
FNF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FNF's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FNF.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FNF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.9x | $23.18 | -46% |
| Forward | 8.2x | $43.10 | — |
| Current | 11x | $43.10 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $56.61 | +31% |
| Expensive | 21x | $82.71 | +92% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FNF has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
FNF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect FNF's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over FNF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
FNF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.24 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.91 | -5.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.82 | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.73 | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.12 | -53% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.15 | +57% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.80 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.90 | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.48 | +143% |
FNF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.91 over the past year, against $8.70 in late 2021.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over FNF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FNF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.6B | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.1B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.1B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.6B | +5.5% |
FNF's revenue is growing: $3.6B last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +24 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.3% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -6.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1% | -6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +23 points |
FNF has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over FNF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FNF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $875M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +0.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | -34% |
FNF has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FNF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -13M shares |
| 3 years | -5% | -14M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -40.4M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -30.2M shares |
FNF has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6M |
| Q2 2026 | $60M |
| Q1 2026 | $78M |
| Q4 2025 | $30M |
| Q3 2025 | $43M |
| Q2 2025 | $154M |
| Q1 2025 | $24M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
FNF spent $174M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 21% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
FNF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
FNF has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FNF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.1 | Neutral |
FNF's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FNF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FNF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 15% below |
| PE % | 37 | 63 | 26 pts below |
FNF has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
FNF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.9 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $45.4 | 5% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.8 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $53.6 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $50.3 | 14% below |
FNF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 14% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over FNF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FNF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.3 | $37.0 | -15% |
| 2021 | $37.0 | $48.9 | +32% |
| 2022 | $48.9 | $37.8 | -23% |
| 2023 | $37.8 | $51.0 | +35% |
| 2024 | $51.0 | $56.3 | +10% |
| 2025 | $56.3 | $54.9 | -2.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.9 | $43.1 | -21% |
FNF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over FNF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.