FND

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

61
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

FND has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

FND's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x66x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x66x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$48.83—
Forward26x$48.83—
Cheap29x$65.06+33%
Fair39x$86.31+77%
Expensive53x$118+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FND's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 26x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect FND's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over FND on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

FND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$63.32
Downside-23%$37.41

Calculated from the latest close: $48.83 on Nov 12.

FND trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FND, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.27Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.92Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.15Q3 2026: $2.23Forward: $1.88
Q4 2023: $2.27Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.92Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.15Q3 2026: $2.23Forward: $1.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.88-16%
Q3 2026$2.23+12%
Q2 2026$2.15+10%
Q1 2026$1.84-2.6%
Q4 2025$1.92+1.1%
Q3 2025$2.00+11%
Q2 2025$1.95+1%
Q1 2025$1.89-8.7%
Q4 2024$1.90-16%

FND has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

FND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+3%
Q2 2026$1.3B+3%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.7%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.5%
Q2 2025$1.2B+7.1%
Q1 2025$1.2B+5.8%
Q4 2024$1.1B+5.7%

FND's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over FND on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$155.6M+536%
Q2 2026$96M+$105.9M
Q1 2026$45.8M+933%
Q4 2025$45.1M+1051%
Q3 2025$24.5M-33%
Q2 2025-$10M-112%
Q1 2025$4.4M-88%
Q4 2024$3.9M+$33.2M

FND has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

FND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 108MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 108MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.6%-1.8M shares
3 years-1.2%-1.3M shares
5 years-0.7%-788K shares
Available history+1.7%+1.7M shares

FND has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

FND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

FND has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic31.8Neutral

FND's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

FND PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFNDSector medianRelative
PE22x18x22% above
PE %24745 pts below

FND is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.43.1% above
20 week MA$51.85.8% below
50 week MA$55.913% below
100 week MA$68.529% below
200 week MA$85.743% below

FND has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

FND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.5$99.9+98%
2021$99.9$130.0+30%
2022$130.0$71.5-45%
2023$71.5$111.6+56%
2024$111.6$99.9-10%
2025$99.9$62.7-37%
2026 YTD$62.7$48.8-22%

FND has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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