FND

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

61
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

FND has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

FND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

FND's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

FND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x66x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x66x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$48.83—
Forward26x$48.83—
Cheap29x$65.06+33%
Fair39x$86.31+77%
Expensive53x$118+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FND's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 26x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over FND in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect FND's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$63.32
Downside-23%$37.41

Calculated from the latest close: $48.83 on Nov 12.

FND trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FND, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.27Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.92Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.15Q3 2026: $2.23Forward: $1.88
Q4 2023: $2.27Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.92Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.15Q3 2026: $2.23Forward: $1.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.88-16%
Q3 2026$2.23+12%
Q2 2026$2.15+10%
Q1 2026$1.84-2.6%
Q4 2025$1.92+1.1%
Q3 2025$2.00+11%
Q2 2025$1.95+1%
Q1 2025$1.89-8.7%
Q4 2024$1.90-16%

FND has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

FND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+3%
Q2 2026$1.3B+3%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.7%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.5%
Q2 2025$1.2B+7.1%
Q1 2025$1.2B+5.8%
Q4 2024$1.1B+5.7%

FND has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

FND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$155.6M+536%
Q2 2026$96M+$105.9M
Q1 2026$45.8M+933%
Q4 2025$45.1M+1051%
Q3 2025$24.5M-33%
Q2 2025-$10M-112%
Q1 2025$4.4M-88%
Q4 2024$3.9M+$33.2M

FND has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

FND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 108MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 108MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.6%-1.8M shares
3 years-1.2%-1.3M shares
5 years-0.7%-788K shares
Available history+1.7%+1.7M shares

FND has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

FND has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic31.8Neutral

FND's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

FND PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFNDSector medianRelative
PE22x18x22% above
PE %24745 pts below

FND is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over FND on valuation relative to its sector.

FND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.43.1% above
20 week MA$51.85.8% below
50 week MA$55.913% below
100 week MA$68.529% below
200 week MA$85.743% below

FND has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 43% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

FND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.5$99.9+98%
2021$99.9$130.0+30%
2022$130.0$71.5-45%
2023$71.5$111.6+56%
2024$111.6$99.9-10%
2025$99.9$62.7-37%
2026 YTD$62.7$48.8-22%

FND has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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