FNB

F.N.B. Corporation

62
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FNB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over FNB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

FNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FNB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FNB.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.3x12x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.3x12x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$13.76-24%
Forward9.7x$18.10—
Fair11x$18.38+1.6%
Current11x$18.10—
Expensive12x$21.08+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FNB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

FNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FNB, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

FNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$22.26
Downside-12%$15.90

Calculated from the latest close: $18.10 on Nov 12.

FNB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FNB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.23Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.08Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.27Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.40Q4 2025: $1.56Q1 2026: $1.62Q2 2026: $1.68Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $1.86
Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.23Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.08Q4 2024: $1.27Q1 2025: $1.27Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.40Q4 2025: $1.56Q1 2026: $1.62Q2 2026: $1.68Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $1.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.86+9.3%
Q3 2026$1.70+21%
Q2 2026$1.68+30%
Q1 2026$1.62+28%
Q4 2025$1.56+23%
Q3 2025$1.40+30%
Q2 2025$1.29+9.3%
Q1 2025$1.27+3.3%
Q4 2024$1.27-3.1%

FNB earned $1.70 per share over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FNB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $338MQ1 2024: $407MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $373MQ1 2025: $411MQ2 2025: $439MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $458MQ1 2026: $450MQ2 2026: $463MQ3 2026: $469M
Q4 2023: $338MQ1 2024: $407MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $373MQ1 2025: $411MQ2 2025: $439MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $458MQ1 2026: $450MQ2 2026: $463MQ3 2026: $469M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$469M+2.6%
Q2 2026$463M+5.5%
Q1 2026$450M+9.5%
Q4 2025$458M+23%
Q3 2025$457M+11%
Q2 2025$439M+8.7%
Q1 2025$411M+1%
Q4 2024$373M+10%

FNB's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $469M last quarter, up 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over FNB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $278MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $133MQ2 2026: $241MQ3 2026: $250M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $278MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $133MQ2 2026: $241MQ3 2026: $250M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250M+68%
Q2 2026$241M+184%
Q1 2026$133M+209%
Q4 2025$99M-64%
Q3 2025$149M+$195M
Q2 2025$85M+55%
Q1 2025$43M-80%
Q4 2024$278M+$315M

FNB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 363MQ2 2024: 363MQ3 2024: 362MQ4 2024: 363MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 362MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 362MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 357MQ3 2026: 355M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 363MQ2 2024: 363MQ3 2024: 362MQ4 2024: 363MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 362MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 362MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 357MQ3 2026: 355M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.4M shares
1 year-1.9%-6.7M shares
3 years-1.9%-6.8M shares
5 years+9.9%+32.1M shares
Available history+8.9%+28.9M shares

FNB has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

FNB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.0xModerate

FNB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic45.2Neutral

FNB's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FNB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFNBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %446319 pts below

FNB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.72.3% above
20 week MA$18.31.3% below
50 week MA$17.81.5% above
100 week MA$16.411% above
200 week MA$14.723% above

FNB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

FNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.6$9.41-25%
2021$9.41$12.0+27%
2022$12.0$12.9+7.5%
2023$12.9$13.8+6.9%
2024$13.8$14.7+7%
2025$14.7$17.6+19%
2026 YTD$17.6$18.1+3.1%

FNB has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 3.1% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over FNB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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