FN
Fabrinet
FN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over FN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
FN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
FN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
FN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $354 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $258 | -27% |
| Fair | 25x | $335 | -5.4% |
| Current | 27x | $354 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $437 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FN's PE is in its fair range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over FN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
FN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FN, with profitability holding steady.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
FN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.94 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.25 | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.05 | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.63 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.43 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.70 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.17 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.98 | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.94 | +29% |
FN has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
FN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +45% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $978.1M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $909.7M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $871.8M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $833.6M | +17% |
FN has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.9% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.1% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | -0.1 points |
FN's operating margin was 9.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over FN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$137.4M | -340% |
| Q2 2026 | -$36.9M | -888% |
| Q1 2026 | -$10.8M | -124% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.3M | -106% |
| Q3 2025 | $57.3M | -8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.7M | -93% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.7M | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | $94M | +26% |
FN's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$190M over the past year.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over FN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
FN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -19K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +136K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -248K shares |
| 5 years | -2.9% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | -4.1% | -1.5M shares |
FN has 36M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.1M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $151,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $268,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $22.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $34.8M |
| Q2 2024 | $3.5M |
FN spent $34M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over FN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
FN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
FN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
FN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.9 | Oversold |
FN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
FN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | FN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 4.2% below |
| PE % | 60 | 35 | 25 pts above |
FN has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
FN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $381.8 | 7.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $430.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $508.0 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $396.1 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $287.6 | 23% above |
FN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 23% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over FN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.6 | $76.1 | +18% |
| 2021 | $76.1 | $118.0 | +55% |
| 2022 | $118.0 | $128.7 | +9% |
| 2023 | $128.7 | $190.3 | +48% |
| 2024 | $190.3 | $219.5 | +15% |
| 2025 | $219.5 | $478.3 | +118% |
| 2026 YTD | $478.3 | $353.8 | -26% |
FN has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 26% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over FN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.