FMNB

Farmers National Banc Corp.

54
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FMNB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over FMNB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

FMNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FMNB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FMNB.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

FMNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.8x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.8x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$11.73-24%
Forward8.9x$15.46—
Fair9.4x$13.07-15%
Expensive11x$15.07-2.5%
Current11x$15.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FMNB's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over FMNB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FMNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FMNB, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

FMNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$18.76
Downside-13%$13.47

Calculated from the latest close: $15.46 on Nov 12.

FMNB trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FMNB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FMNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.33Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.22Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.45Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $1.47Q3 2026: $1.39Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $1.33Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.22Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.45Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $1.47Q3 2026: $1.39Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75+26%
Q3 2026$1.39-3.5%
Q2 2026$1.47+9.7%
Q1 2026$1.45+13%
Q4 2025$1.45+19%
Q3 2025$1.44+18%
Q2 2025$1.34-0.7%
Q1 2025$1.28-11%
Q4 2024$1.22-8.3%

FMNB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.39 over the past year, against $2.02 in late 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over FMNB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FMNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65.9M+38%
Q2 2026$70.4M+50%
Q1 2026$56.3M+26%
Q4 2025$49.1M+11%
Q3 2025$47.7M+8%
Q2 2025$47M+13%
Q1 2025$44.7M+12%
Q4 2024$44.2M-1.9%

FMNB's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $66M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over FMNB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FMNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.1M+211%
Q2 2026$26M+109%
Q1 2026$7.1M-42%
Q3 2025$9M-62%
Q2 2025$12.4M-25%
Q1 2025$12.2M-7.5%
Q3 2024$23.7M+21%
Q2 2024$16.5M+8.6%

FMNB has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FMNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+78.4K shares
1 year+57%+21.6M shares
3 years+59%+21.9M shares
5 years+109%+30.9M shares
Available history+113%+31.4M shares

FMNB has 59M diluted shares, up 57% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over FMNB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FMNB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 5.8xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 4.7xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 5.8xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 4.7xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.0xHigh
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20246.0xHigh

FMNB's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FMNB.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over FMNB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FMNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic43.3Neutral

FMNB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FMNB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFMNBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %876324 pts above

FMNB has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FMNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.40.3% above
20 week MA$15.40.2% above
50 week MA$14.47.5% above
100 week MA$14.010% above
200 week MA$13.614% above

FMNB has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

FMNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.4$13.2-19%
2021$13.2$18.3+39%
2022$18.3$14.2-22%
2023$14.2$14.5+1.5%
2024$14.5$14.0-3.1%
2025$14.0$13.7-2.4%
2026 YTD$13.7$15.5+13%

FMNB has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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