FMNB

Farmers National Banc Corp.

54
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FMNB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over FMNB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

FMNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FMNB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FMNB.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

FMNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.8x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.8x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$11.73-24%
Forward8.9x$15.46—
Fair9.4x$13.07-15%
Expensive11x$15.07-2.5%
Current11x$15.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FMNB has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

FMNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

FMNB has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

FMNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$18.76
Downside-13%$13.47

Calculated from the latest close: $15.46 on Nov 12.

FMNB trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FMNB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FMNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.33Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.22Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.45Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $1.47Q3 2026: $1.39Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $1.33Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.22Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.34Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.45Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $1.47Q3 2026: $1.39Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75+26%
Q3 2026$1.39-3.5%
Q2 2026$1.47+9.7%
Q1 2026$1.45+13%
Q4 2025$1.45+19%
Q3 2025$1.44+18%
Q2 2025$1.34-0.7%
Q1 2025$1.28-11%
Q4 2024$1.22-8.3%

FMNB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.39 over the past year, against $2.02 in late 2021.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over FMNB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FMNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $44MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65.9M+38%
Q2 2026$70.4M+50%
Q1 2026$56.3M+26%
Q4 2025$49.1M+11%
Q3 2025$47.7M+8%
Q2 2025$47M+13%
Q1 2025$44.7M+12%
Q4 2024$44.2M-1.9%

FMNB has the edge over JPM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

FMNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.1M+211%
Q2 2026$26M+109%
Q1 2026$7.1M-42%
Q3 2025$9M-62%
Q2 2025$12.4M-25%
Q1 2025$12.2M-7.5%
Q3 2024$23.7M+21%
Q2 2024$16.5M+8.6%

FMNB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FMNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+78.4K shares
1 year+57%+21.6M shares
3 years+59%+21.9M shares
5 years+109%+30.9M shares
Available history+113%+31.4M shares

FMNB has 59M diluted shares, up 57% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over FMNB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FMNB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 5.8xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 4.7xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 5.8xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 4.7xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.0xHigh
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20246.0xHigh

FMNB's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FMNB.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over FMNB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FMNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic43.3Neutral

FMNB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

FMNB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFMNBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %876324 pts above

FMNB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FMNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.40.3% above
20 week MA$15.40.2% above
50 week MA$14.47.5% above
100 week MA$14.010% above
200 week MA$13.614% above

FMNB has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

FMNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.4$13.2-19%
2021$13.2$18.3+39%
2022$18.3$14.2-22%
2023$14.2$14.5+1.5%
2024$14.5$14.0-3.1%
2025$14.0$13.7-2.4%
2026 YTD$13.7$15.5+13%

FMNB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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