FLY

Firefly Aerospace Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FLY yet.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

FLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

FLY's profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and balance sheet.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FLY PE Valuation

FLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect FLY's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

FLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $25.31 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FLY and RDW's risk to reward.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FLY and RDW's risk to reward.

FLY Earnings Per Share

FLY and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

FLY Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $111M
Q1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110.7M+260%
Q2 2026$117.7M+657%
Q1 2026$80.9M+45%
Q2 2025$15.5M-26%
Q1 2025$55.9M+572%

FLY has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

FLY Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$65MQ2 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$62MQ4 2025: −$79MQ1 2026: −$79MQ2 2026: −$106MQ3 2026: −$85M
Q1 2024: −$65MQ2 2024: −$38MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$62MQ4 2025: −$79MQ1 2026: −$79MQ2 2026: −$106MQ3 2026: −$85M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$85.3M-$23.3M
Q1 2026-$78.9M-$19.7M
Q1 2025-$59.2M+$5.9M

FLY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$350M over the past year, against −$224M the year before.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

FLY Total Shares

Q2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 168M
Q2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 168M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.1%+6.6M shares
1 year+1113%+154M shares

FLY has 168M diluted shares, up 1113% from a year ago.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has the edge over FLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FLY Net Leverage

FLY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic46.9Neutral

FLY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FLY PE vs Industrials Sector

FLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.822% above
20 week MA$22.115% above
50 week MA$26.64.8% below

FLY has stronger trend alignment. FLY is above 2 of 3 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

FLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.2$23.3-53%
2026 YTD$23.3$25.3+8.4%

FLY has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's up 8.4% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over FLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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