FLGT

Fulgent Genetics, Inc.

48
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

FLGT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over FLGT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

FLGT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

FLGT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FLGT PE Valuation

FLGT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FLGT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect FLGT's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over FLGT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

FLGT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$38.60
Downside-36%$16.02

Calculated from the latest close: $24.85 on Nov 12.

FLGT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FLGT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FLGT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.63Q1 2024: $-5.56Q2 2024: $-5.47Q3 2024: $-5.51Q4 2024: $-1.41Q1 2025: $-1.33Q2 2025: $-1.66Q3 2025: $-1.39Q4 2025: $-1.97Q1 2026: $-2.40Q2 2026: $-2.83Q3 2026: $-3.10
Q4 2023: $-5.63Q1 2024: $-5.56Q2 2024: $-5.47Q3 2024: $-5.51Q4 2024: $-1.41Q1 2025: $-1.33Q2 2025: $-1.66Q3 2025: $-1.39Q4 2025: $-1.97Q1 2026: $-2.40Q2 2026: $-2.83Q3 2026: $-3.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.10-$1.71
Q2 2026-$2.83-$1.17
Q1 2026-$2.40-$1.07
Q4 2025-$1.97-$0.56
Q3 2025-$1.39+$4.12
Q2 2025-$1.66+$3.81
Q1 2025-$1.33+$4.23
Q4 2024-$1.41+$4.22

FLGT lost $3.10 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over FLGT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

FLGT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $76MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $76MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$90.4M+7.5%
Q2 2026$85.4M+4.4%
Q1 2026$71.1M-3.2%
Q4 2025$83.3M+9.3%
Q3 2025$84.1M+17%
Q2 2025$81.8M+15%
Q1 2025$73.5M+14%
Q4 2024$76.2M+8.1%

FLGT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $90M last quarter, up 7.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over FLGT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FLGT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: $107M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: $107M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$107.4M+2025%
Q2 2026-$27.6M+$9.4M
Q1 2026$1.9M+$11M
Q4 2025-$83.1M-491%
Q3 2025$5.1M+$40.1M
Q2 2025-$37M-$28.3M
Q1 2025-$9.1M-385%
Q4 2024$21.2M+80%

FLGT's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against −$20M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over FLGT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

FLGT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-343K shares
1 year-10%-3.1M shares
3 years-7.8%-2.4M shares
5 years-11%-3.5M shares
Available history+48%+9M shares

FLGT has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

FLGT Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.3xNet Cash

FLGT has more cash than debt.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FLGT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.9Neutral
Stochastic79.5Neutral

FLGT's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

FLGT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricFLGTSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

FLGT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

FLGT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.814% above
20 week MA$20.621% above
50 week MA$20.522% above
100 week MA$20.422% above
200 week MA$23.74.9% above

FLGT has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 4.9% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

FLGT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.2$45.8+246%
2021$45.8$100.2+119%
2022$100.2$30.3-70%
2023$30.3$28.9-4.7%
2024$28.9$18.4-36%
2025$18.4$26.7+45%
2026 YTD$26.7$24.9-7%

FLGT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +246% in 2020 to −70% in 2022. It's down 7% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over FLGT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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