FIVE

Five Below, Inc.

79
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

FIVE has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FIVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

FIVE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FIVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$247—
Cheap23x$252+2.1%
Forward24x$247—
Fair35x$390+58%
Expensive49x$546+121%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FIVE's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FIVE, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FIVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$368.31
Downside-20%$197.11

Calculated from the latest close: $247.16 on Nov 12.

FIVE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails FIVE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FIVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.84Q1 2024: $5.42Q2 2024: $5.32Q3 2024: $5.08Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $4.59Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $5.57Q1 2026: $6.47Q2 2026: $7.93Q3 2026: $11.15Forward: $10.31
Q4 2023: $4.84Q1 2024: $5.42Q2 2024: $5.32Q3 2024: $5.08Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $4.59Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $5.57Q1 2026: $6.47Q2 2026: $7.93Q3 2026: $11.15Forward: $10.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.31-7.5%
Q3 2026$11.15+126%
Q2 2026$7.93+66%
Q1 2026$6.47+41%
Q4 2025$5.57+15%
Q3 2025$4.94-2.8%
Q2 2025$4.77-10%
Q1 2025$4.59-15%
Q4 2024$4.85+0.2%

FIVE has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

FIVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $736MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $812MQ3 2024: $830MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $736MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $812MQ3 2024: $830MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+23%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.7B+24%
Q4 2025$1B+23%
Q3 2025$1B+24%
Q2 2025$970.5M+20%
Q1 2025$1.4B+4%
Q4 2024$843.7M+15%

FIVE has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

FIVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$193MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $311MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: −$133MQ1 2026: $400MQ2 2026: $190MQ3 2026: $142M
Q4 2023: −$193MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $311MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: −$133MQ1 2026: $400MQ2 2026: $190MQ3 2026: $142M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$142.3M+195%
Q2 2026$190M+97%
Q1 2026$400.1M+28%
Q4 2025-$133.2M-$22.2M
Q3 2025$48.3M+$80.6M
Q2 2025$96.5M+$157.9M
Q1 2025$311.4M+2.2%
Q4 2024-$111M+$81.9M

FIVE has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

FIVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-133K shares
1 year+0.2%+85.1K shares
3 years-0.6%-327K shares
5 years-1.5%-825K shares
Available history-1%-545K shares

FIVE has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

FIVE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

FIVE has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FIVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic66.1Neutral

FIVE's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

FIVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFIVESector medianRelative
PE22x18x23% above
PE %164731 pts below

FIVE is trading at 22x earnings, a 23% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$229.17.9% above
20 week MA$227.08.9% above
50 week MA$215.415% above
100 week MA$166.049% above
200 week MA$162.452% above

FIVE has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

FIVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.4$158.9+27%
2021$158.9$193.6+22%
2022$193.6$174.8-9.7%
2023$174.8$213.2+22%
2024$213.2$109.2-49%
2025$109.2$189.9+74%
2026 YTD$189.9$247.2+30%

FIVE has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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