FIVE
Five Below, Inc.
FIVE has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
FIVE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
FIVE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FIVE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $247 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $252 | +2.1% |
| Forward | 24x | $247 | — |
| Fair | 35x | $390 | +58% |
| Expensive | 49x | $546 | +121% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FIVE's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24x.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FIVE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FIVE, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
FIVE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.31 | -7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.15 | +126% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.93 | +66% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.47 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.57 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.94 | -2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.77 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.59 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.85 | +0.2% |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
FIVE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $970.5M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $843.7M | +15% |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +4.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.1% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -2.3 points |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FIVE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $142.3M | +195% |
| Q2 2026 | $190M | +97% |
| Q1 2026 | $400.1M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | -$133.2M | -$22.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $48.3M | +$80.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $96.5M | +$157.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $311.4M | +2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | -$111M | +$81.9M |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
FIVE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -133K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +85.1K shares |
| 3 years | -0.6% | -327K shares |
| 5 years | -1.5% | -825K shares |
| Available history | -1% | -545K shares |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $13,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $10.1M |
| Q2 2024 | $30.2M |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
FIVE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
FIVE has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FIVE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.1 | Neutral |
FIVE's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
FIVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FIVE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 23% above |
| PE % | 16 | 47 | 31 pts below |
FIVE is trading at 22x earnings, a 23% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FIVE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $229.1 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $227.0 | 8.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $215.4 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $166.0 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $162.4 | 52% above |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
FIVE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $125.4 | $158.9 | +27% |
| 2021 | $158.9 | $193.6 | +22% |
| 2022 | $193.6 | $174.8 | -9.7% |
| 2023 | $174.8 | $213.2 | +22% |
| 2024 | $213.2 | $109.2 | -49% |
| 2025 | $109.2 | $189.9 | +74% |
| 2026 YTD | $189.9 | $247.2 | +30% |
FIVE has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.