FISI

Financial Institutions, Inc.

49
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

FISI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over FISI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

FISI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FISI's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FISI.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

FISI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$23.28-42%
Fair7.3x$29.54-26%
Forward9.5x$40.04—
Expensive9.9x$39.80-0.6%
Current9.9x$40.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FISI's PE is in its expensive range at 9.9x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.5x next year's earnings.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over FISI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FISI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FISI, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over FISI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

FISI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$49.15
Downside-16%$33.67

Calculated from the latest close: $40.04 on Nov 12.

FISI trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FISI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FISI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $2.50Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $3.17Q4 2025: $3.61Q1 2026: $3.84Q2 2026: $4.03Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $4.24
Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $2.50Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $3.17Q4 2025: $3.61Q1 2026: $3.84Q2 2026: $4.03Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $4.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.24+5.1%
Q3 2024$3.17-4.2%
Q2 2024$3.21-3%
Q1 2024$2.50-26%
Q4 2023$3.15-12%
Q3 2023$3.31-17%
Q2 2023$3.31-21%
Q1 2023$3.39-24%
Q4 2022$3.56-26%

FISI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 27% for FISI versus HOOD down 10%.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.

FISI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.7M+1.4%
Q2 2026$64.3M+7.7%
Q1 2026$62.7M+9.5%
Q3 2025$63.8M+27%
Q2 2025$59.7M-8.4%
Q1 2025$57.2M+12%
Q3 2024$50.1M-3.9%
Q2 2024$65.2M+21%

FISI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $65M last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over FISI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FISI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$49MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: −$299,000Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: −$49MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: −$299,000Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.8M+$39.7M
Q2 2026$21.8M+$29.1M
Q1 2026$23M+151%
Q3 2025-$7.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$7.3M-121%
Q1 2025$9.2M-17%
Q3 2024-$299K-101%
Q2 2024$34.7M+341%

FISI has the edge over HOOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

FISI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-39K shares
1 year-2.1%-434K shares
3 years+29%+4.5M shares
5 years+25%+4M shares
Available history+24%+3.9M shares

FISI has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

FISI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2024-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 20242.5xModerate
Q1 20240.4xVery low
Q4 20232.6xModerate

FISI's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FISI.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over FISI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FISI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.7Neutral
Stochastic38.7Neutral

FISI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

FISI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFISISector medianRelative
PE9.9x13x24% below
PE %846321 pts above

FISI has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FISI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.70.8% above
20 week MA$40.30.6% below
50 week MA$36.211% above
100 week MA$31.428% above
200 week MA$25.855% above

FISI has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

FISI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.0$22.5-30%
2021$22.5$31.8+42%
2022$31.8$24.5-23%
2023$24.5$21.3-13%
2024$21.3$27.0+27%
2025$27.0$32.0+18%
2026 YTD$32.0$40.0+25%

FISI has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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