FINW

FinWise Bancorp

38
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

FINW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over FINW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

FINW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FINW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FINW.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FINW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$5.71-61%
Fair9.7x$13.13-9.4%
Current11x$14.49—
Forward16x$14.49—
Expensive17x$22.71+57%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FINW's PE is in its fair range at 11x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 16x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over FINW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FINW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FINW's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over FINW on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

FINW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$17.32
Downside-27%$10.51

Calculated from the latest close: $14.49 on Nov 12.

FINW trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FINW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FINW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.33Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.96Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.13Q1 2026: $1.10Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $1.35Forward: $0.91
Q4 2023: $1.33Q1 2024: $1.29Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $1.06Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.96Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.13Q1 2026: $1.10Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $1.35Forward: $0.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.91-33%
Q3 2026$1.35+29%
Q2 2026$0.960%
Q1 2026$1.10+21%
Q4 2025$1.13+22%
Q3 2025$1.05-0.9%
Q2 2025$0.96-19%
Q1 2025$0.91-29%
Q4 2024$0.93-30%

FINW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.35 over the past year, against $1.87 in late 2022.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FINW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FINW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$102.7M+180%
Q2 2026$54.3M+117%
Q1 2026$42.7M+93%
Q4 2025$46.9M+122%
Q3 2025$36.7M+76%
Q2 2025$25.1M+29%
Q1 2025$22.1M+13%
Q4 2024$21.1M+3.6%

FINW has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

FINW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $358,000Q2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $592,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: −$26MQ3 2026: $63M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $358,000Q2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $592,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: −$26MQ3 2026: $63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$63.4M+1747%
Q2 2026-$25.7M-$8.8M
Q1 2026$19.7M+$42.9M
Q4 2025$8.1M+1263%
Q3 2025$3.4M+$15.5M
Q2 2025-$16.9M-$8.1M
Q1 2025-$23.3M-6594%
Q4 2024$592K-93%

FINW has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FINW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-10.4K shares
1 year+0.3%+47.5K shares
3 years+6.2%+795K shares

FINW has 14M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over FINW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FINW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -4.2xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.9xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -4.3xQ4 2025: -6.1xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -3.1x
Q4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -4.2xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.9xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -4.3xQ4 2025: -6.1xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.9xNet Cash

FINW has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FINW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.3Neutral
Stochastic82.0Overbought

FINW's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FINW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFINWSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %536411 pts below

FINW has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FINW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.020% above
20 week MA$13.111% above
50 week MA$15.03.4% below
100 week MA$16.19.9% below
200 week MA$13.66.5% above

FINW's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.5% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

FINW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.7$13.4+5.4%
2022$13.4$9.68-28%
2023$9.68$14.3+48%
2024$14.3$16.1+13%
2025$16.1$17.8+11%
2026 YTD$17.8$14.5-19%

FINW has finished higher in four of the last five years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over FINW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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