FINV

FinVolution Group

There isn't enough reported data to score FINV yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

FINV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FINV's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FINV.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FINV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.3x4.7x7.0x9.4x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.3x4.7x7.0x9.4x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.5x$2.77+1.7%
Current2.5x$2.72—
Fair4.1x$4.47+64%
Expensive5.8x$6.43+136%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FINV has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

FINV Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for FINV to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

FINV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.72 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FINV and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FINV and MS's risk to reward.

FINV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.25Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.24Q4 2024: $1.34Q1 2025: $1.48Q2 2025: $1.59Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.10
Q3 2023: $1.25Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.24Q4 2024: $1.34Q1 2025: $1.48Q2 2025: $1.59Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.10-31%
Q1 2026$1.25-16%
Q4 2025$1.43+6.7%
Q3 2025$1.58+27%
Q2 2025$1.59+34%
Q1 2025$1.48+25%
Q4 2024$1.34+7.2%
Q3 2024$1.24-0.8%

FINV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.10 over the past year, against $1.59 in mid-2025.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FINV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FINV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $480MQ4 2023: $492MQ1 2024: $475MQ2 2024: $475MQ3 2024: $492MQ4 2024: $519MQ1 2025: $522MQ2 2025: $537MQ3 2025: $523MQ4 2025: $448MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $509M
Q3 2023: $480MQ4 2023: $492MQ1 2024: $475MQ2 2024: $475MQ3 2024: $492MQ4 2024: $519MQ1 2025: $522MQ2 2025: $537MQ3 2025: $523MQ4 2025: $448MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $509M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$509.3M-5.2%
Q1 2026$478.8M-8.3%
Q4 2025$447.5M-14%
Q3 2025$523.2M+6.4%
Q2 2025$536.9M+13%
Q1 2025$522.4M+10%
Q4 2024$518.8M+5.5%
Q3 2024$491.6M+2.5%

FINV's revenue is shrinking: $509M last quarter, down 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over FINV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FINV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $27MQ4 2023: −$80MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $131MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: --
Q3 2023: $27MQ4 2023: −$80MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $131MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026$33.9M-56%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$130.8M-45%
Q2 2025$1.3M-99%
Q1 2025$76.9M+145%
Q4 2024$19.2M+$99.4M
Q3 2024$236.8M+785%
Q2 2024$144.9M+91%

FINV has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 7.4% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FINV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 276MQ4 2023: 273MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 261MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 265MQ3 2025: 270MQ4 2025: 266MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 250M
Q3 2023: 276MQ4 2023: 273MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 261MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 265MQ3 2025: 270MQ4 2025: 266MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-6.3M shares
1 year-5.3%-14.1M shares
3 years-12%-34.3M shares
5 years-16%-47M shares
Available history-21%-65.5M shares

FINV has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

FINV Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.2xQ4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -6.5xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.4x
Q3 2023: -2.2xQ4 2023: -2.0xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -6.5xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.2xNet Cash

FINV has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FINV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.8Oversold
Stochastic3.6Oversold

FINV's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FINV PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFINVSector medianRelative
PE2.5x13x81% below
PE %166347 pts below

FINV has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FINV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.957.8% below
20 week MA$3.7227% below
50 week MA$4.5540% below
100 week MA$6.2657% below
200 week MA$5.6652% below

FINV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over FINV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FINV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.46$2.36-4.1%
2021$2.36$4.90+108%
2022$4.90$5.09+3.9%
2023$5.09$4.90-3.7%
2024$4.90$6.86+40%
2025$6.86$5.42-21%
2026 YTD$5.42$2.72-50%

FINV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over FINV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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