FICO

Fair Isaac Corporation

75
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

FICO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over FICO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

FICO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

FICO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

FICO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x91x121x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x91x121x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$717—
Current20x$717—
Cheap34x$1,224+71%
Fair54x$1,954+172%
Expensive72x$2,633+267%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FICO has the edge over PLTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

FICO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FICO, with profitability improving.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

FICO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$1,122.46
Downside-20%$577.20

Calculated from the latest close: $717.38 on Nov 12.

FICO trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FICO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FICO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $17.89Q1 2024: $19.05Q2 2024: $19.02Q3 2024: $20.45Q4 2024: $21.79Q1 2025: $23.22Q2 2025: $25.57Q3 2025: $26.54Q4 2025: $27.01Q1 2026: $31.56Q2 2026: $34.61Q3 2026: $36.32Forward: $44.90
Q4 2023: $17.89Q1 2024: $19.05Q2 2024: $19.02Q3 2024: $20.45Q4 2024: $21.79Q1 2025: $23.22Q2 2025: $25.57Q3 2025: $26.54Q4 2025: $27.01Q1 2026: $31.56Q2 2026: $34.61Q3 2026: $36.32Forward: $44.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$44.90+24%
Q3 2026$36.32+37%
Q2 2026$34.61+35%
Q1 2026$31.56+36%
Q4 2025$27.01+24%
Q3 2025$26.54+30%
Q2 2025$25.57+34%
Q1 2025$23.22+22%
Q4 2024$21.79+22%

FICO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $36.32 over the past year, up 37% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over FICO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FICO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $382MQ1 2024: $434MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $454MQ4 2024: $440MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: $536MQ3 2025: $516MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $692MQ2 2026: $674MQ3 2026: $657M
Q4 2023: $382MQ1 2024: $434MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $454MQ4 2024: $440MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: $536MQ3 2025: $516MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $692MQ2 2026: $674MQ3 2026: $657M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$657M+27%
Q2 2026$674.2M+26%
Q1 2026$691.7M+39%
Q4 2025$512M+16%
Q3 2025$515.8M+14%
Q2 2025$536.4M+20%
Q1 2025$498.7M+15%
Q4 2024$440M+15%

FICO's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $657M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over FICO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FICO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $212MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $193MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $212MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $193MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$293.4M+34%
Q2 2026$379.6M+33%
Q1 2026$223.1M+206%
Q4 2025$173.9M-10%
Q3 2025$219.5M-2.3%
Q2 2025$284.4M+34%
Q1 2025$72.8M+8.7%
Q4 2024$193.2M+60%

FICO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.1B over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over FICO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FICO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+285K shares
1 year-6.4%-1.6M shares
3 years-9.4%-2.4M shares
5 years-21%-6.3M shares
Available history-24%-7.2M shares

FICO has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FICO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

FICO's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over FICO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FICO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.9Neutral
Stochastic18.9Oversold

FICO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

FICO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFICOSector medianRelative
PE20x28x29% below
PE %13534 pts below

FICO has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

FICO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$739.02.9% below
20 week MA$968.626% below
50 week MA$1,181.639% below
100 week MA$1,466.751% below
200 week MA$1,338.346% below

FICO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over FICO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FICO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$378.8$518.5+37%
2021$518.5$435.1-16%
2022$435.1$616.8+42%
2023$616.8$1,164.0+89%
2024$1,164.0$2,037.3+75%
2025$2,037.3$1,753.2-14%
2026 YTD$1,753.2$717.4-59%

FICO is down 59% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over FICO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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