FICO

Fair Isaac Corporation

75
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

FICO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over FICO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

FICO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

FICO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

FICO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x91x121x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x91x121x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$717—
Current20x$717—
Cheap34x$1,224+71%
Fair54x$1,954+172%
Expensive72x$2,633+267%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FICO has the edge over MU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

FICO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FICO, with profitability improving.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

FICO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$1,122.46
Downside-20%$577.20

Calculated from the latest close: $717.38 on Nov 12.

FICO trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FICO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FICO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $17.89Q1 2024: $19.05Q2 2024: $19.02Q3 2024: $20.45Q4 2024: $21.79Q1 2025: $23.22Q2 2025: $25.57Q3 2025: $26.54Q4 2025: $27.01Q1 2026: $31.56Q2 2026: $34.61Q3 2026: $36.32Forward: $44.90
Q4 2023: $17.89Q1 2024: $19.05Q2 2024: $19.02Q3 2024: $20.45Q4 2024: $21.79Q1 2025: $23.22Q2 2025: $25.57Q3 2025: $26.54Q4 2025: $27.01Q1 2026: $31.56Q2 2026: $34.61Q3 2026: $36.32Forward: $44.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$44.90+24%
Q3 2026$36.32+37%
Q2 2026$34.61+35%
Q1 2026$31.56+36%
Q4 2025$27.01+24%
Q3 2025$26.54+30%
Q2 2025$25.57+34%
Q1 2025$23.22+22%
Q4 2024$21.79+22%

FICO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $36.32 over the past year, up 37% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $74.33 over the past year, about 10 times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

FICO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $382MQ1 2024: $434MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $454MQ4 2024: $440MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: $536MQ3 2025: $516MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $692MQ2 2026: $674MQ3 2026: $657M
Q4 2023: $382MQ1 2024: $434MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $454MQ4 2024: $440MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: $536MQ3 2025: $516MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $692MQ2 2026: $674MQ3 2026: $657M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$657M+27%
Q2 2026$674.2M+26%
Q1 2026$691.7M+39%
Q4 2025$512M+16%
Q3 2025$515.8M+14%
Q2 2025$536.4M+20%
Q1 2025$498.7M+15%
Q4 2024$440M+15%

FICO's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $657M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over FICO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FICO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $212MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $193MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $212MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $193MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $284MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$293.4M+34%
Q2 2026$379.6M+33%
Q1 2026$223.1M+206%
Q4 2025$173.9M-10%
Q3 2025$219.5M-2.3%
Q2 2025$284.4M+34%
Q1 2025$72.8M+8.7%
Q4 2024$193.2M+60%

FICO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.1B over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over FICO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FICO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+285K shares
1 year-6.4%-1.6M shares
3 years-9.4%-2.4M shares
5 years-21%-6.3M shares
Available history-24%-7.2M shares

FICO has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

FICO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

FICO's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has the edge over FICO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FICO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.9Neutral
Stochastic18.9Oversold

FICO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

FICO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFICOSector medianRelative
PE20x28x29% below
PE %13534 pts below

FICO is trading at 20x earnings, a 29% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over FICO on valuation relative to its sector.

FICO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$739.02.9% below
20 week MA$968.626% below
50 week MA$1,181.639% below
100 week MA$1,466.751% below
200 week MA$1,338.346% below

FICO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over FICO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FICO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$378.8$518.5+37%
2021$518.5$435.1-16%
2022$435.1$616.8+42%
2023$616.8$1,164.0+89%
2024$1,164.0$2,037.3+75%
2025$2,037.3$1,753.2-14%
2026 YTD$1,753.2$717.4-59%

FICO is down 59% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over FICO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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