FG
F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.
FG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over FG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
FG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FG's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FG.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.1x | $23.62 | — |
| Forward | 5.7x | $23.62 | — |
| Cheap | 7.2x | $54.82 | +132% |
| Fair | 8.7x | $66.51 | +182% |
| Expensive | 17x | $128 | +442% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FG has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
FG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect FG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over FG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
FG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.15 | -46% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.61 | +121% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.98 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.86 | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.88 | -61% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.44 | +$3.49 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.51 | +1.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.80 | +93% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.88 | +$5.35 |
FG earned $7.61 per share over the past year, up 121% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over FG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $908M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | -3.3% |
FG's revenue has held roughly level: $1.1B last quarter, down 33% from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over FG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $982M | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $743M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $937M | -55% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $956M | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -41% |
FG has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +5M shares |
| 1 year | -2.9% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | +8% | +10M shares |
FG has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $94M |
| Q1 2026 | $29M |
| Q4 2025 | $7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $3M |
| Q4 2024 | $6M |
FG spent $130M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
FG Net Leverage
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.0 | Neutral |
FG's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.1x | 13x | 76% below |
| PE % | 5 | 55 | 50 pts below |
FG has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
FG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.5 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $24.6 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $26.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.8 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $32.5 | 27% below |
FG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 27% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over FG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $25.0 | $20.2 | -19% |
| 2023 | $20.2 | $46.0 | +127% |
| 2024 | $46.0 | $41.5 | -9.7% |
| 2025 | $41.5 | $32.1 | -23% |
| 2026 YTD | $32.1 | $23.6 | -26% |
FG has finished lower in three of the last four years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over FG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.