FFIN

First Financial Bankshares, Inc.

62
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FFIN has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

FFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FFIN's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FFIN.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

FFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$30.26—
Current15x$30.26—
Cheap18x$37.29+23%
Fair23x$47.10+56%
Expensive30x$60.74+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FFIN has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

FFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FFIN, with profitability holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over FFIN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

FFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$37.49
Downside-13%$26.31

Calculated from the latest close: $30.26 on Nov 12.

FFIN trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FFIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FFIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.39Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.40Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.62Q2 2025: $1.72Q3 2025: $1.69Q4 2025: $1.77Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $1.87Q3 2026: $2.03Forward: $2.10
Q4 2023: $1.39Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.40Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.62Q2 2025: $1.72Q3 2025: $1.69Q4 2025: $1.77Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $1.87Q3 2026: $2.03Forward: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.10+3.3%
Q3 2026$2.03+20%
Q2 2026$1.87+8.7%
Q1 2026$1.84+14%
Q4 2025$1.77+13%
Q3 2025$1.69+17%
Q2 2025$1.72+23%
Q1 2025$1.62+17%
Q4 2024$1.56+12%

FFIN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.03 over the past year, up 20% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over FFIN on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: $149MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: $149MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$174.1M+8%
Q2 2026$172.8M+10%
Q1 2026$166.9M+12%
Q4 2025$164.7M+12%
Q3 2025$161.3M+16%
Q2 2025$156.6M+16%
Q1 2025$149M+15%
Q4 2024$147.1M+23%

FFIN has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

FFIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $72MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $72MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.3M+3.2%
Q2 2026$75.2M+28%
Q1 2026$97.5M+31%
Q4 2025$68.9M-14%
Q3 2025$83.7M+7.7%
Q2 2025$58.7M-8%
Q1 2025$74.7M+4.2%
Q4 2024$79.7M+45%

FFIN has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FFIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 143MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 143MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 144MQ2 2026: 144MQ3 2026: 144M
Q4 2023: 143MQ1 2024: 143MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 143MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 144MQ2 2026: 144MQ3 2026: 144M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+28.2K shares
1 year+0.2%+252K shares
3 years+0.4%+577K shares
5 years+0.4%+508K shares
Available history+5.4%+7.4M shares

FFIN has 144M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over FFIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FFIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

FFIN has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

FFIN's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

FFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFFINSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %06363 pts below

FFIN is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over FFIN on valuation relative to its sector.

FFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.92.1% below
20 week MA$32.98.1% below
50 week MA$32.36.2% below
100 week MA$33.610% below
200 week MA$32.67.1% below

FFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.1% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over FFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.3$35.8+1.4%
2021$35.8$50.2+40%
2022$50.2$33.7-33%
2023$33.7$30.3-10%
2024$30.3$36.2+19%
2025$36.2$30.9-15%
2026 YTD$30.9$30.3-1.9%

FFIN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 1.9% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over FFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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