FENC

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.

67
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

FENC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over FENC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

FENC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Unavailable

FENC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FENC PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$10.90—
Current1,090x$10.90—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FENC has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FENC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FENC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

FENC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$16.73
Downside-34%$7.19

Calculated from the latest close: $10.90 on Nov 12.

FENC trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FENC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FENC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.58Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.93Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.07Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.24Q4 2025: $-0.34Q1 2026: $-0.29Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $0.01Forward: $0.68
Q4 2023: $-1.58Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.93Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.07Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.24Q4 2025: $-0.34Q1 2026: $-0.29Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $0.01Forward: $0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.68+6660%
Q3 2026$0.01+$0.25
Q2 2026-$0.13+$0.30
Q1 2026-$0.29+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.34-$0.27
Q3 2025-$0.24+$0.83
Q2 2025-$0.43+$0.50
Q1 2025-$0.52+$0.42
Q4 2024-$0.07+$1.51

FENC has returned to profit: it earned $0.01 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over FENC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FENC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.6M+57%
Q2 2026$17.9M+85%
Q1 2026$15.1M+73%
Q4 2025$13.8M+74%
Q3 2025$12.5M+79%
Q2 2025$9.7M+33%
Q1 2025$8.8M-66%
Q4 2024$7.9M-20%

FENC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $20M last quarter, up 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

FENC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $50,000Q3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $50,000Q3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.7M+348%
Q2 2026$50K+$3.7M
Q1 2026$2.4M+$6.7M
Q4 2025-$6M-$4.5M
Q3 2025$1.5M+$3.7M
Q2 2025-$3.7M+$4.7M
Q1 2025-$4.3M-111%
Q4 2024-$1.5M+$3.4M

FENC's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $3M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

FENC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.5%+1.6M shares
1 year+37%+10.2M shares
3 years+43%+11.5M shares
5 years+46%+12.1M shares
Available history+91%+18.2M shares

FENC has 38M diluted shares, up 37% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over FENC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FENC Net Leverage

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FENC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.6Neutral
Stochastic26.3Neutral

FENC's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

FENC PE vs Healthcare Sector

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

FENC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.35.6% above
20 week MA$10.71.6% above
50 week MA$9.0520% above
100 week MA$8.2532% above
200 week MA$8.0635% above

FENC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 35% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

FENC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.23$7.16+15%
2021$7.16$4.49-37%
2022$4.49$9.78+118%
2023$9.78$11.2+15%
2024$11.2$6.22-45%
2025$6.22$8.09+30%
2026 YTD$8.09$10.9+35%

FENC has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key