FDMT

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FDMT yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

FDMT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

FDMT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FDMT PE Valuation

FDMT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FDMT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong decline
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FDMT's losses to grow, with revenue declining.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

FDMT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $12.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FDMT and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FDMT and LLY's risk to reward.

FDMT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.72Q1 2024: $-2.50Q2 2024: $-2.36Q3 2024: $-2.91Q4 2024: $-2.98Q1 2025: $-3.18Q2 2025: $-3.53Q3 2025: $-3.75Q4 2025: $-2.42Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-2.63Q3 2026: $-2.70
Q4 2023: $-2.72Q1 2024: $-2.50Q2 2024: $-2.36Q3 2024: $-2.91Q4 2024: $-2.98Q1 2025: $-3.18Q2 2025: $-3.53Q3 2025: $-3.75Q4 2025: $-2.42Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-2.63Q3 2026: $-2.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.70+$1.05
Q2 2026-$2.63+$0.90
Q1 2026-$2.57+$0.61
Q4 2025-$2.42+$0.56
Q3 2025-$3.75-$0.84
Q2 2025-$3.53-$1.17
Q1 2025-$3.18-$0.68
Q4 2024-$2.98-$0.26

FDMT is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.70 per share over the past year, against $5.43 at its worst in late 2019.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.83+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over FDMT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

FDMT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: −$19,000Q1 2024: $28,000Q2 2024: $5,000Q3 2024: $3,000Q4 2024: $1,000Q1 2025: $14,000Q2 2025: $15,000Q3 2025: $90,000Q4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$19,000Q1 2024: $28,000Q2 2024: $5,000Q3 2024: $3,000Q4 2024: $1,000Q1 2025: $14,000Q2 2025: $15,000Q3 2025: $90,000Q4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M+4506%
Q2 2026$3.8M+25107%
Q1 2026$3M+21664%
Q4 2025$85.1M+8508900%
Q3 2025$90K+2900%
Q2 2025$15K+200%
Q1 2025$14K-50%
Q3 2024$3K-100%

FDMT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $4M last quarter, up 4506% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over FDMT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FDMT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$30MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$47MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$43MQ3 2025: −$46MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: −$68MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: −$57M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$30MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$47MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$43MQ3 2025: −$46MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: −$68MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: −$57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$56.8M-$10.4M
Q1 2026-$68.1M-$19.7M
Q4 2025$28.6M+$75.4M
Q3 2025-$46.4M-$15.2M
Q2 2025-$43.4M-$12.9M
Q1 2025-$48.4M-$18.6M
Q4 2024-$46.8M-$21.6M
Q3 2024-$31.2M-$29.6M

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with FDMT at down 44%.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

FDMT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.8%+2M shares
1 year+29%+16.1M shares
3 years+71%+30M shares
5 years+167%+45.2M shares
Available history+387%+57.4M shares

FDMT has 72M diluted shares, up 29% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over FDMT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FDMT Net Leverage

FDMT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FDMT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.7Neutral
Stochastic31.2Neutral

FDMT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

FDMT PE vs Healthcare Sector

FDMT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

FDMT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.63.7% below
20 week MA$12.74.6% below
50 week MA$10.615% above
100 week MA$8.2148% above
200 week MA$13.17.3% below

FDMT's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.3% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over FDMT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FDMT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.5$40.0-1.2%
2021$40.0$22.7-43%
2022$22.7$21.6-5%
2023$21.6$20.3-6.2%
2024$20.3$5.55-73%
2025$5.55$7.97+44%
2026 YTD$7.97$12.1+52%

FDMT has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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