FCX

Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

75
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential87/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FCX's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 25x earnings, below its usual 30x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FCX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

FCX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

FCX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$60.45—
Cheap16x$37.13-39%
Current25x$60.45—
Fair29x$70.16+16%
Expensive38x$89.75+48%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FCX's PE is in its fair range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FCX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FCX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FCX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$108.66
Downside-12%$53.07

Calculated from the latest close: $60.45 on Nov 12.

FCX's one-year upside scenario is about seven times its downside: +80% against −12%.

FCX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.38Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $2.04Q3 2026: $2.39Forward: $4.14
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.38Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $2.04Q3 2026: $2.39Forward: $4.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.14+73%
Q3 2026$2.39+67%
Q2 2026$2.04+53%
Q1 2026$1.89+55%
Q4 2025$1.52+17%
Q3 2025$1.43+3.6%
Q2 2025$1.330%
Q1 2025$1.22+7%
Q4 2024$1.30+1.6%

FCX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.39 over the past year, against $3.46 in early 2022.

FCX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.9BQ1 2024: $6.3BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $7BQ3 2026: $7.5B
Q4 2023: $5.9BQ1 2024: $6.3BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $7BQ3 2026: $7.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.5B+8.2%
Q2 2026$7B-7.3%
Q1 2026$6.2B+8.8%
Q4 2025$5.6B-1.5%
Q3 2025$7B+2.7%
Q2 2025$7.6B+14%
Q1 2025$5.7B-9.4%
Q4 2024$5.7B-3.1%

FCX's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $7.5B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

FCX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: $642MQ2 2024: $840MQ3 2024: $673MQ4 2024: $197MQ1 2025: −$114MQ2 2025: $934MQ3 2025: $608MQ4 2025: −$312MQ1 2026: $522MQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: $642MQ2 2024: $840MQ3 2024: $673MQ4 2024: $197MQ1 2025: −$114MQ2 2025: $934MQ3 2025: $608MQ4 2025: −$312MQ1 2026: $522MQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2B+226%
Q2 2026$2B+119%
Q1 2026$522M+$636M
Q4 2025-$312M-258%
Q3 2025$608M-9.7%
Q2 2025$934M+11%
Q1 2025-$114M-118%
Q4 2024$197M+$239M

FCX generated $4.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 161% from the year before.

FCX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.4BQ3 2024: 1.4BQ4 2024: 1.4BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.4BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.4BQ3 2024: 1.4BQ4 2024: 1.4BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.4BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.4BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.1%-1M shares
3 years-0.1%-1M shares
5 years-2.8%-42M shares
Available history-1%-15M shares

FCX has 1.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FCX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

FCX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FCX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

FCX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FCX PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricFCXSector medianRelative
PE25x19x36% above
PE %37403 pts below

FCX is trading at 25x earnings, a 36% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

FCX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.99.6% below
20 week MA$67.310% below
50 week MA$62.83.8% below
100 week MA$51.418% above
200 week MA$46.929% above

FCX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 29% above its 200-week average.

FCX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$24.8+90%
2021$24.8$41.1+66%
2022$41.1$38.1-7.4%
2023$38.1$42.6+12%
2024$42.6$38.9-8.7%
2025$38.9$53.0+36%
2026 YTD$53.0$60.5+14%

FCX has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 14% so far in 2026.

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