FCF

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score FCF yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

FCF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FCF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FCF.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FCF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.2x$15.62-25%
Fair11x$18.96-9.4%
Forward11x$20.92—
Current12x$20.92—
Expensive13x$22.07+5.5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FCF has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

FCF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FCF, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

FCF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $20.92 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FCF and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FCF and MS's risk to reward.

FCF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.61Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $1.39Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $1.52Q2 2026: $1.64Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $1.99
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.61Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $1.39Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $1.52Q2 2026: $1.64Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $1.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.99+17%
Q3 2026$1.70+23%
Q2 2026$1.64+26%
Q1 2026$1.52+13%
Q4 2025$1.47+5.8%
Q3 2025$1.38-6.8%
Q2 2025$1.30-16%
Q1 2025$1.34-17%
Q4 2024$1.39-9.7%

FCF earned $1.70 per share over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FCF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FCF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $116MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $121MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $118MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $143M
Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $116MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $121MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $118MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $143M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$143M+5.2%
Q2 2026$139.4M+6.5%
Q1 2026$133.6M+13%
Q4 2025$137.9M+15%
Q3 2025$136M+12%
Q2 2025$131M+9%
Q1 2025$118M+1.5%
Q4 2024$120.4M+0.3%

FCF's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $143M last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over FCF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FCF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16M-68%
Q2 2026$3.6M-88%
Q1 2026$86.8M+55%
Q3 2025$49.5M-7.7%
Q2 2025$30.4M+34%
Q1 2025$55.9M+41%
Q3 2024$53.6M+163%
Q2 2024$22.7M-52%

FCF's free cash flow was $156M over the past year, down 4.1% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FCF.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FCF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-1.5M shares
1 year-4.5%-4.7M shares
3 years-2.3%-2.4M shares
5 years+4.4%+4.2M shares
Available history+1.5%+1.5M shares

FCF has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

FCF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

FCF has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FCF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic51.0Neutral

FCF's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FCF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFCFSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %70637 pts above

FCF has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FCF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.71.1% above
20 week MA$20.90.1% below
50 week MA$19.28.8% above
100 week MA$17.718% above
200 week MA$16.030% above

FCF has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

FCF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$10.7-26%
2021$10.7$15.9+49%
2022$15.9$13.9-13%
2023$13.9$15.4+11%
2024$15.4$17.0+10%
2025$17.0$17.1+0.6%
2026 YTD$17.1$20.9+22%

FCF has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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