FCEL

FuelCell Energy, Inc.

56
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

FCEL has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

FCEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

FCEL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FCEL PE Valuation

FCEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FCEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect FCEL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FCEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+118%$22.35
Downside-54%$4.73

Calculated from the latest close: $10.25 on Nov 12.

FCEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails FCEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FCEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.80Q1 2024: $-7.80Q2 2024: $-7.20Q3 2024: $-7.50Q4 2024: $-7.83Q1 2025: $-7.75Q2 2025: $-7.44Q3 2025: $-9.12Q4 2025: $-7.42Q1 2026: $-6.49Q2 2026: $-6.15Q3 2026: $-3.01
Q4 2023: $-7.80Q1 2024: $-7.80Q2 2024: $-7.20Q3 2024: $-7.50Q4 2024: $-7.83Q1 2025: $-7.75Q2 2025: $-7.44Q3 2025: $-9.12Q4 2025: $-7.42Q1 2026: $-6.49Q2 2026: $-6.15Q3 2026: $-3.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.01+$6.11
Q2 2026-$6.15+$1.29
Q1 2026-$6.49+$1.26
Q4 2025-$7.42+$0.41
Q3 2025-$9.12-$1.62
Q2 2025-$7.44-$0.24
Q1 2025-$7.75+$0.05
Q4 2024-$7.83-$0.03

FCEL has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

FCEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33M-29%
Q2 2026$35.6M-4.9%
Q1 2026$30.5M+61%
Q4 2025$55M+12%
Q3 2025$46.7M+97%
Q2 2025$37.4M+67%
Q1 2025$19M+14%
Q4 2024$49.3M+120%

FCEL's revenue has held roughly level: $33M last quarter, down 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over FCEL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FCEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$69MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: −$77MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$53MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: −$35MQ2 2026: −$29MQ3 2026: −$14M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$69MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: −$77MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$53MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: −$35MQ2 2026: −$29MQ3 2026: −$14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$13.5M+$18.6M
Q2 2026-$29M+$6.2M
Q1 2026-$34.7M+$18.1M
Q4 2025-$23.9M-$19.2M
Q3 2025-$32.1M+$44.7M
Q2 2025-$35.2M+$15.2M
Q1 2025-$52.8M+$16.1M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$22.4M

FCEL has the edge over RKLB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

FCEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+30%+16.2M shares
1 year+224%+48.7M shares
3 years+420%+56.9M shares
5 years+555%+59.7M shares
Available history+3735%+68.6M shares

FCEL has 70M diluted shares, up 224% from a year ago.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over FCEL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FCEL Net Leverage

FCEL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FCEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.8Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

FCEL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

FCEL PE vs Industrials Sector

FCEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FCEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.624% below
20 week MA$17.441% below
50 week MA$13.826% below
100 week MA$10.20.9% above
200 week MA$26.361% below

FCEL's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 61% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over FCEL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FCEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.1$369.0+869%
2021$369.0$193.8-47%
2022$193.8$80.1-59%
2023$80.1$48.0-40%
2024$48.0$10.0-79%
2025$10.0$8.48-16%
2026 YTD$8.48$10.3+21%

FCEL has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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