FBP

First BanCorp.

59
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FBP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over FBP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

FBP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FBP's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FBP.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FBP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$21.53-17%
Fair10x$24.46-6.3%
Current11x$26.09—
Forward11x$26.09—
Expensive12x$27.42+5.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FBP has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

FBP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect FBP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over FBP on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

FBP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$31.73
Downside-12%$23.00

Calculated from the latest close: $26.09 on Nov 12.

FBP trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FBP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FBP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $1.83Q3 2024: $1.82Q4 2024: $1.81Q1 2025: $1.84Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.25Q2 2026: $2.37Q3 2026: $2.37Forward: $2.43
Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $1.83Q3 2024: $1.82Q4 2024: $1.81Q1 2025: $1.84Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.25Q2 2026: $2.37Q3 2026: $2.37Forward: $2.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.43+2.4%
Q3 2026$2.37+15%
Q2 2026$2.37+26%
Q1 2026$2.25+22%
Q4 2025$2.15+19%
Q3 2025$2.06+13%
Q2 2025$1.88+2.7%
Q1 2025$1.84+4.5%
Q4 2024$1.81+5.8%

FBP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.37 over the past year, up 15% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2023.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FBP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FBP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $230MQ1 2024: $231MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $249MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $265MQ3 2026: $260M
Q4 2023: $230MQ1 2024: $231MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $249MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $265MQ3 2026: $260M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$260.1M+4.6%
Q2 2026$264.9M+7.3%
Q1 2026$258.6M+4.2%
Q4 2025$257.2M+6.5%
Q3 2025$248.7M+6%
Q2 2025$246.8M+6.5%
Q1 2025$248.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$241.5M+4.9%

FBP's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $260M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over FBP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FBP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$101.2M-25%
Q2 2026$87.2M-6.1%
Q1 2026$115.9M+8.6%
Q4 2025$103.2M+8.4%
Q3 2025$134.8M+17%
Q2 2025$92.8M+34%
Q1 2025$106.7M-6.5%
Q4 2024$95.2M+24%

FBP has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FBP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 177MQ1 2024: 168MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 164MQ4 2024: 165MQ1 2025: 164MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 160MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 154MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 177MQ1 2024: 168MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 164MQ4 2024: 165MQ1 2025: 164MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 160MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 154MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-2.2M shares
1 year-5.1%-8.1M shares
3 years-14%-25M shares

FBP has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

FBP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

FBP has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FBP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

FBP's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FBP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFBPSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %67634 pts above

FBP has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FBP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.72.4% below
20 week MA$27.55.3% below
50 week MA$24.56.4% above
100 week MA$22.417% above
200 week MA$19.236% above

FBP has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

FBP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.6$9.13-14%
2021$9.13$13.6+49%
2022$13.6$12.8-5.7%
2023$12.8$16.5+28%
2024$16.5$18.7+14%
2025$18.7$21.2+13%
2026 YTD$21.2$26.1+23%

FBP has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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