FATE

Fate Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FATE yet.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 31%, but earnings per share fell 8.5%. At 23x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FATE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

FATE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

FATE PE Valuation

FATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FATE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect FATE's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FATE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.34 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FATE and UNH's risk to reward.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FATE and UNH's risk to reward.

FATE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.64Q1 2024: $-1.92Q2 2024: $-1.71Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-1.64Q1 2025: $-1.49Q2 2025: $-1.45Q3 2025: $-1.32Q4 2025: $-1.15Q1 2026: $-1.09Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.03
Q4 2023: $-1.64Q1 2024: $-1.92Q2 2024: $-1.71Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-1.64Q1 2025: $-1.49Q2 2025: $-1.45Q3 2025: $-1.32Q4 2025: $-1.15Q1 2026: $-1.09Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.03+$0.29
Q2 2026-$1.05+$0.40
Q1 2026-$1.09+$0.40
Q4 2025-$1.15+$0.49
Q3 2025-$1.32+$0.33
Q2 2025-$1.45+$0.26
Q1 2025-$1.49+$0.43
Q4 2024-$1.64$0.00

FATE is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.03 per share over the past year, against $3.06 at its worst in late 2022.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over FATE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

FATE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.1M+9.2%
Q1 2026$1.3M-20%
Q4 2025$1.4M-26%
Q3 2025$1.7M-43%
Q2 2025$1.9M-72%
Q1 2025$1.6M-15%
Q4 2024$1.9M+11%
Q3 2024$3.1M+58%

FATE's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over FATE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FATE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: −$30MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$35MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$25MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$28M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: −$30MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$35MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$25MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.8M-$1.2M
Q2 2026-$23.5M+$2.5M
Q1 2026-$31.1M+$3.9M
Q4 2025-$24.5M+$3.4M
Q3 2025-$26.6M+$3.3M
Q2 2025-$25.9M+$6.4M
Q1 2025-$35M-$1.6M
Q4 2024-$27.9M+$8.9M

FATE has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$107M over the past year, against −$115M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over FATE on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

FATE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+3.3M shares
1 year+3.9%+4.7M shares
3 years+25%+25.1M shares
5 years+30%+28.2M shares
Available history+81%+55.5M shares

FATE has 124M diluted shares, up 3.9% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over FATE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FATE Net Leverage

FATE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FATE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic14.1Oversold

FATE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

FATE PE vs Healthcare Sector

FATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

FATE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.0033% below
20 week MA$2.3643% below
50 week MA$1.8327% below
100 week MA$1.5111% below
200 week MA$2.8853% below

FATE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over FATE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FATE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.7$99.5+404%
2021$99.5$64.3-35%
2022$64.3$11.0-83%
2023$11.0$3.74-66%
2024$3.74$1.61-57%
2025$1.61$1.00-38%
2026 YTD$1.00$1.34+34%

FATE has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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