FATE

Fate Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FATE yet.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 55% and its operating margin went from −1.9% to 5.4%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

FATE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

FATE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FATE PE Valuation

FATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FATE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect FATE's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

FATE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.34 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FATE and OSCR's risk to reward.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare FATE and OSCR's risk to reward.

FATE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.64Q1 2024: $-1.92Q2 2024: $-1.71Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-1.64Q1 2025: $-1.49Q2 2025: $-1.45Q3 2025: $-1.32Q4 2025: $-1.15Q1 2026: $-1.09Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.03
Q4 2023: $-1.64Q1 2024: $-1.92Q2 2024: $-1.71Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-1.64Q1 2025: $-1.49Q2 2025: $-1.45Q3 2025: $-1.32Q4 2025: $-1.15Q1 2026: $-1.09Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.03+$0.29
Q2 2026-$1.05+$0.40
Q1 2026-$1.09+$0.40
Q4 2025-$1.15+$0.49
Q3 2025-$1.32+$0.33
Q2 2025-$1.45+$0.26
Q1 2025-$1.49+$0.43
Q4 2024-$1.64$0.00

FATE is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.03 per share over the past year, against $3.06 at its worst in late 2022.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over FATE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

FATE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.1M+9.2%
Q1 2026$1.3M-20%
Q4 2025$1.4M-26%
Q3 2025$1.7M-43%
Q2 2025$1.9M-72%
Q1 2025$1.6M-15%
Q4 2024$1.9M+11%
Q3 2024$3.1M+58%

FATE's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over FATE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FATE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: −$30MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$35MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$25MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$28M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: −$30MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$35MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$25MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.8M-$1.2M
Q2 2026-$23.5M+$2.5M
Q1 2026-$31.1M+$3.9M
Q4 2025-$24.5M+$3.4M
Q3 2025-$26.6M+$3.3M
Q2 2025-$25.9M+$6.4M
Q1 2025-$35M-$1.6M
Q4 2024-$27.9M+$8.9M

FATE has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$107M over the past year, against −$115M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over FATE on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

FATE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+3.3M shares
1 year+3.9%+4.7M shares
3 years+25%+25.1M shares
5 years+30%+28.2M shares
Available history+81%+55.5M shares

FATE has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

FATE Net Leverage

FATE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

FATE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic14.1Oversold

FATE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

FATE PE vs Healthcare Sector

FATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

FATE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.0033% below
20 week MA$2.3643% below
50 week MA$1.8327% below
100 week MA$1.5111% below
200 week MA$2.8853% below

FATE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over FATE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FATE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.7$99.5+404%
2021$99.5$64.3-35%
2022$64.3$11.0-83%
2023$11.0$3.74-66%
2024$3.74$1.61-57%
2025$1.61$1.00-38%
2026 YTD$1.00$1.34+34%

FATE has finished five years in a row lower, and it's up 34% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over FATE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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