FATE
Fate Therapeutics, Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score FATE yet.
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.
FATE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
FATE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
FATE PE Valuation
FATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
FATE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect FATE's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.
FATE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.03 | +$0.29 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.05 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.09 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.15 | +$0.49 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.32 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.45 | +$0.26 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.49 | +$0.43 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.64 | $0.00 |
FATE is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.03 per share over the past year, against $3.06 at its worst in late 2022.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over FATE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
FATE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.1M | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4M | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7M | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9M | -72% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9M | +11% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.1M | +58% |
FATE's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1495% | +443 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2540% | -6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2536% | +784 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1995% | -291 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1939% | -1273 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2534% | +119 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3320% | -451 points |
| Q3 2024 | -1704% | +934 points |
FATE's operating margin was −1495% last quarter, up 443 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over FATE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY has the edge over FATE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FATE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.8M | -$1.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$23.5M | +$2.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$31.1M | +$3.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$24.5M | +$3.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.6M | +$3.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$25.9M | +$6.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$35M | -$1.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$27.9M | +$8.9M |
FATE has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$107M over the past year, against −$115M the year before.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY has the edge over FATE on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
FATE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.7% | +3.3M shares |
| 1 year | +3.9% | +4.7M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +25.1M shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +28.2M shares |
| Available history | +81% | +55.5M shares |
FATE has 124M diluted shares, up 3.9% from a year ago.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has the edge over FATE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
FATE Net Leverage
FATE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
FATE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.1 | Oversold |
FATE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
FATE PE vs Healthcare Sector
FATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
FATE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.00 | 33% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.36 | 43% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.83 | 27% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.51 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.88 | 53% below |
FATE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% below its 200-week average.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over FATE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FATE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.7 | $99.5 | +404% |
| 2021 | $99.5 | $64.3 | -35% |
| 2022 | $64.3 | $11.0 | -83% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $3.74 | -66% |
| 2024 | $3.74 | $1.61 | -57% |
| 2025 | $1.61 | $1.00 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.00 | $1.34 | +34% |
FATE has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.