FANG

Diamondback Energy, Inc.

51
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FANG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 25x earnings, more than twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FANG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Healthy

FANG's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

FANG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x217x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x217x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.6x$49.22-73%
Forward8x$182—
Fair10x$75.33-59%
Current25x$182—
Expensive33x$247+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FANG's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FANG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FANG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FANG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$261.51
Downside-15%$154.30

Calculated from the latest close: $182.20 on Nov 12.

FANG's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +44% against −15%.

FANG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $17.34Q1 2024: $17.74Q2 2024: $19.35Q3 2024: $17.47Q4 2024: $15.53Q1 2025: $16.08Q2 2025: $13.80Q3 2025: $14.12Q4 2025: $5.73Q1 2026: $0.98Q2 2026: $5.25Q3 2026: $7.43Forward: $22.68
Q4 2023: $17.34Q1 2024: $17.74Q2 2024: $19.35Q3 2024: $17.47Q4 2024: $15.53Q1 2025: $16.08Q2 2025: $13.80Q3 2025: $14.12Q4 2025: $5.73Q1 2026: $0.98Q2 2026: $5.25Q3 2026: $7.43Forward: $22.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.68+205%
Q3 2026$7.43-47%
Q2 2026$5.25-62%
Q1 2026$0.98-94%
Q4 2025$5.73-63%
Q3 2025$14.12-19%
Q2 2025$13.80-29%
Q1 2025$16.08-9.4%
Q4 2024$15.53-10%

FANG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.43 over the past year, against $24.71 in late 2022.

FANG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $5.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $5.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.4B+38%
Q2 2026$5.6B+51%
Q1 2026$4.2B+4.7%
Q4 2025$3.4B-9%
Q3 2025$3.9B+48%
Q2 2025$3.7B+48%
Q1 2025$4B+82%
Q4 2024$3.7B+67%

FANG's revenue is growing: $5.4B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

FANG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+9.1%
Q2 2026$3.6B+114%
Q1 2026$1.8B-22%
Q4 2025$2.3B+0.1%
Q3 2025$2.4B+97%
Q2 2025$1.7B+9.7%
Q1 2025$2.4B+77%
Q4 2024$2.3B+44%

FANG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $10.4B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

FANG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 178MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 205MQ1 2025: 290MQ2 2025: 292MQ3 2025: 289MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 280M
Q4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 178MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 205MQ1 2025: 290MQ2 2025: 292MQ3 2025: 289MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 280M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-8.9M shares
3 years+55%+99.6M shares
5 years+54%+98M shares
Available history+71%+116M shares

FANG has 280M diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago.

FANG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

FANG's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FANG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic37.4Neutral

FANG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

FANG PE vs Energy Sector

MetricFANGSector medianRelative
PE25x13x87% above
PE %806119 pts above

FANG is trading at 25x earnings, a 87% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

FANG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$193.35.7% below
20 week MA$195.06.6% below
50 week MA$184.41.2% below
100 week MA$165.99.8% above
200 week MA$165.610% above

FANG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 10% above its 200-week average.

FANG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$90.8$48.3-47%
2021$48.3$105.9+120%
2022$105.9$137.0+29%
2023$137.0$155.1+13%
2024$155.1$158.3+2.1%
2025$158.3$146.3-7.6%
2026 YTD$146.3$182.2+25%

FANG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +120% in 2021 to −47% in 2020. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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