FAF

First American Financial Corporation

64
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FAF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over FAF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

FAF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FAF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FAF.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

FAF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$53.49-17%
Current9.1x$64.40—
Forward9.8x$64.40—
Fair11x$81.06+26%
Expensive33x$231+259%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FAF's PE is in its cheap range at 9.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.8x, in its fair range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over FAF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FAF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect FAF's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over FAF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

FAF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$78.77
Downside-12%$56.62

Calculated from the latest close: $64.40 on Nov 12.

FAF trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FAF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FAF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.08Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.26Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $4.66Q4 2025: $6.00Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $7.21Q3 2026: $7.09Forward: $6.59
Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.08Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.26Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $4.66Q4 2025: $6.00Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $7.21Q3 2026: $7.09Forward: $6.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.59-7.1%
Q3 2026$7.09+52%
Q2 2026$7.21+296%
Q1 2026$6.50+328%
Q4 2025$6.00+376%
Q3 2025$4.66+430%
Q2 2025$1.82-2.2%
Q1 2025$1.52-27%
Q4 2024$1.26-39%

FAF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.09 over the past year, against $11.31 in late 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

FAF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$2.1B+15%
Q1 2026$1.8B+16%
Q4 2025$2B+22%
Q3 2025$2B+41%
Q2 2025$1.8B+14%
Q1 2025$1.6B+11%
Q4 2024$1.7B+18%

FAF's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2.1B last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over FAF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FAF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$100MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: $197M
Q4 2023: −$100MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: $197M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$196.6M-12%
Q2 2026$317.4M+2.6%
Q1 2026-$32.7M+$61.8M
Q4 2025$324.5M+22%
Q3 2025$223.1M+20%
Q2 2025$309.4M+47%
Q1 2025-$94.5M-637%
Q4 2024$266.2M+$366M

FAF has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FAF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 103M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 103M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+200K shares
1 year+0.1%+100K shares
3 years-1%-1M shares
5 years-7.3%-8.2M shares
Available history-9.2%-10.5M shares

FAF has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

FAF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -7.8xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -4.6xQ3 2024: -9.6xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -4.4xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.2xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -7.8xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -4.6xQ3 2024: -9.6xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -4.4xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.2xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash

FAF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FAF.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over FAF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FAF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic29.9Neutral

FAF's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FAF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFAFSector medianRelative
PE9.1x13x30% below
PE %326331 pts below

FAF has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FAF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.40.1% above
20 week MA$69.37% below
50 week MA$66.83.5% below
100 week MA$64.50.1% below
200 week MA$61.84.3% above

FAF has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

FAF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.8$51.9-10%
2021$51.9$76.4+47%
2022$76.4$52.4-31%
2023$52.4$64.4+23%
2024$64.4$62.5-2.9%
2025$62.5$61.9-1%
2026 YTD$61.9$64.4+4%

FAF has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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