FAF

First American Financial Corporation

64
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FAF has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FAF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FAF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FAF.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

FAF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$53.49-17%
Current9.1x$64.40—
Forward9.8x$64.40—
Fair11x$81.06+26%
Expensive33x$231+259%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FAF has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FAF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect FAF's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over FAF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

FAF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$78.77
Downside-12%$56.62

Calculated from the latest close: $64.40 on Nov 12.

FAF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails FAF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FAF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.08Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.26Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $4.66Q4 2025: $6.00Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $7.21Q3 2026: $7.09Forward: $6.59
Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.08Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.26Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $4.66Q4 2025: $6.00Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $7.21Q3 2026: $7.09Forward: $6.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.59-7.1%
Q3 2026$7.09+52%
Q2 2026$7.21+296%
Q1 2026$6.50+328%
Q4 2025$6.00+376%
Q3 2025$4.66+430%
Q2 2025$1.82-2.2%
Q1 2025$1.52-27%
Q4 2024$1.26-39%

FAF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.09 over the past year, against $11.31 in late 2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

FAF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$2.1B+15%
Q1 2026$1.8B+16%
Q4 2025$2B+22%
Q3 2025$2B+41%
Q2 2025$1.8B+14%
Q1 2025$1.6B+11%
Q4 2024$1.7B+18%

FAF's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2.1B last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

FAF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$100MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: $197M
Q4 2023: −$100MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: $197M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$196.6M-12%
Q2 2026$317.4M+2.6%
Q1 2026-$32.7M+$61.8M
Q4 2025$324.5M+22%
Q3 2025$223.1M+20%
Q2 2025$309.4M+47%
Q1 2025-$94.5M-637%
Q4 2024$266.2M+$366M

FAF has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

FAF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 103M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 103M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+200K shares
1 year+0.1%+100K shares
3 years-1%-1M shares
5 years-7.3%-8.2M shares
Available history-9.2%-10.5M shares

FAF has 103M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over FAF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FAF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -7.8xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -4.6xQ3 2024: -9.6xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -4.4xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.2xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -7.8xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -4.6xQ3 2024: -9.6xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -4.4xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.2xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash

FAF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FAF.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over FAF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FAF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic29.9Neutral

FAF's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FAF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFAFSector medianRelative
PE9.1x13x30% below
PE %326331 pts below

FAF has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

FAF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.40.1% above
20 week MA$69.37% below
50 week MA$66.83.5% below
100 week MA$64.50.1% below
200 week MA$61.84.3% above

FAF's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.3% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over FAF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FAF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.8$51.9-10%
2021$51.9$76.4+47%
2022$76.4$52.4-31%
2023$52.4$64.4+23%
2024$64.4$62.5-2.9%
2025$62.5$61.9-1%
2026 YTD$61.9$64.4+4%

FAF has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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