F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

XPEV

XPeng Inc.

53
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

XPEV has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

XPEV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Unavailable

XPEV's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XPEV PE Valuation

XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XPEV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

XPEV has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails XPEV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XPEV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$13.03
Downside-27%$6.95

Calculated from the latest close: $9.46 on Nov 12.

XPEV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

XPEV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.99Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-1.60Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.93
Q3 2023: $-1.99Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-1.60Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.93-$0.25
Q1 2026-$0.58+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.12+$0.80
Q3 2025-$0.45+$0.47
Q2 2025-$0.68+$0.63
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.79
Q4 2024-$0.92+$0.87
Q3 2024-$0.92+$1.07

XPEV has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

XPEV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $983MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $3B
Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $983MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3B+7.7%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$3.3B+36%
Q3 2025$3.1B+102%
Q2 2025$2.7B+125%
Q1 2025$2.4B+141%
Q4 2024$2.4B+23%
Q3 2024$1.5B+18%

XPEV has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over XPEV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XPEV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

XPEV's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

XPEV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 865MQ4 2023: 934MQ1 2024: 943MQ2 2024: 944MQ3 2024: 944MQ4 2024: 946MQ1 2025: 946MQ2 2025: 946MQ3 2025: 953MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 478M
Q3 2023: 865MQ4 2023: 934MQ1 2024: 943MQ2 2024: 944MQ3 2024: 944MQ4 2024: 946MQ1 2025: 946MQ2 2025: 946MQ3 2025: 953MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 478M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+541K shares
1 year-49%-467M shares
3 years-45%-383M shares
5 years-44%-377M shares
Available history-44%-377M shares

XPEV has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

XPEV Net Leverage

XPEV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

XPEV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic17.7Oversold

XPEV's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XPEV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

XPEV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.561% below
20 week MA$11.114% below
50 week MA$14.937% below
100 week MA$17.245% below
200 week MA$14.233% below

XPEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over XPEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XPEV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$41.9+84%
2021$41.9$46.1+10%
2022$46.1$10.1-78%
2023$10.1$14.6+45%
2024$14.6$12.6-13%
2025$12.6$20.8+65%
2026 YTD$20.8$9.46-54%

XPEV is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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