F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
WING
Wingstop Inc.
WING has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
WING Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
WING's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WING PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 35x | $159 | — |
| Current | 37x | $159 | — |
| Cheap | 45x | $192 | +20% |
| Fair | 104x | $445 | +180% |
| Expensive | 156x | $670 | +321% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WING's PE is in its cheap range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WING Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
WING has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
WING Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.59 | +7.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.29 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.24 | -29% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.05 | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.21 | +68% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.13 | +79% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.99 | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.96 | +112% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.70 | +57% |
WING has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
WING Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $185.1M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $185.6M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $175.7M | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $175.7M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $174.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $171.1M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $161.8M | +27% |
WING has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | -6.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +2.4 points |
WING has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over WING on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WING Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.7M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.3M | -$3.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $43.7M | +153% |
| Q4 2025 | $34.5M | +$43.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $61.7M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.8M | -130% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.3M | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.6M | -134% |
WING generated $117M in free cash flow over the past year, up 86% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
WING Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -115K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -854K shares |
| 3 years | -9% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -9.4% | -2.8M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -2.6M shares |
WING has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.2M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $78.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $61.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $40M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $120.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $250.5M |
WING spent $165M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 60% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over WING on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WING Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
WING's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
WING Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 87.0 | Overbought |
WING's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WING PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WING | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 106% above |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
WING is trading at 37x earnings, a 106% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
WING Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.5 | 21% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.6 | 23% above |
| 50 week MA | $175.9 | 9.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $228.6 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $251.2 | 37% below |
WING has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over WING on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WING Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $86.2 | $140.8 | +63% |
| 2021 | $140.8 | $173.0 | +23% |
| 2022 | $173.0 | $145.7 | -16% |
| 2023 | $145.7 | $256.6 | +76% |
| 2024 | $256.6 | $285.4 | +11% |
| 2025 | $285.4 | $256.2 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $256.2 | $159.3 | -38% |
WING is down 38% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.