F
Ford Motor Company
F has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
WINA
Winmark Corporation
WINA has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
WINA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
WINA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WINA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $240 | -12% |
| Current | 24x | $272 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $312 | +15% |
| Expensive | 36x | $403 | +48% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WINA's PE is in its fair range at 24x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WINA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for WINA to show an outlook.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
WINA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.20 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.01 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.09 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.30 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.22 | +2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.23 | +2.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.19 | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.89 | -1.4% |
WINA has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
WINA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $22M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.8M | -4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.1M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.6M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.4M | +1.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.9M | +9% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.5M | -2.5% |
WINA has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 57% | -9.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 62% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 59% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 62% | -3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 66% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 64% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 62% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 65% | +2.8 points |
WINA has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
WINA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.7M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.7M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9M | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.5M | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.2M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | -2.4% |
WINA has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
WINA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -10.3K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -7.5K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +31.9K shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -97.2K shares |
| Available history | -10% | -415K shares |
WINA has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $168,800 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2022 | $838,600 |
| Q3 2022 | $433,700 |
| Q2 2022 | $11.3M |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over WINA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WINA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
WINA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
WINA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.8 | Oversold |
WINA's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WINA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WINA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 39 | 47 | 8 pts below |
WINA is trading at 24x earnings, a 35% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
WINA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $287.9 | 5.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $324.0 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $379.4 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $389.0 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $376.0 | 28% below |
WINA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over WINA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WINA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $196.2 | $184.0 | -6.2% |
| 2021 | $184.0 | $241.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $241.9 | $238.4 | -1.5% |
| 2023 | $238.4 | $417.6 | +75% |
| 2024 | $417.6 | $396.2 | -5.1% |
| 2025 | $396.2 | $410.2 | +3.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $410.2 | $271.7 | -34% |
WINA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 34% so far in 2026.