F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VSXY

Victoria's Secret & Company

60
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

VSXY has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VSXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSXY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$30.32-71%
Fair14x$60.95-42%
Forward20x$105—
Current23x$105—
Expensive24x$108+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSXY's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VSXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

VSXY has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails VSXY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VSXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$178.92
Downside-28%$75.58

Calculated from the latest close: $104.63 on Nov 12.

VSXY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VSXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.24+17%
Q3 2026$4.49+139%
Q2 2026$2.51+21%
Q1 2026$1.93-5.9%
Q4 2025$2.13+8.7%
Q3 2025$1.88+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.08+56%
Q1 2025$2.05+47%
Q4 2024$1.96+69%

VSXY has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

VSXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+10%
Q2 2026$1.6B+15%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B+9.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.4%
Q1 2025$2.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.5%

VSXY has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

VSXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$328M+273%
Q2 2026-$191M+$2M
Q1 2026$649M+0.5%
Q4 2025-$232M+$67M
Q3 2025$88M+60%
Q2 2025-$193M-$38M
Q1 2025$646M+16%
Q4 2024-$299M-$38M

VSXY has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over VSXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1M shares
1 year+2.4%+2M shares
3 years+9.1%+7M shares
5 years-4.9%-4.4M shares

VSXY has 84M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over VSXY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VSXY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

VSXY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

VSXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVSXYSector medianRelative
PE23x18x29% above
PE %825527 pts above

VSXY is trading at 23x earnings, a 29% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

VSXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.112% above
20 week MA$87.220% above
50 week MA$69.251% above
100 week MA$47.9119% above
200 week MA$36.4188% above

VSXY has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

VSXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$49.1+17%
2022$49.1$40.4-18%
2023$40.4$26.5-34%
2024$26.5$42.3+59%
2025$42.3$53.8+27%
2026 YTD$53.8$104.6+94%

VSXY has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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