F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VNCE

Vince Holding Corp.

56
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential66/ 100

VNCE has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VNCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VNCE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VNCE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x91x136x181x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x91x136x181x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap1.2x$0.70-95%
Fair8.6x$4.91-62%
Expensive22x$12.74-1.3%
Current23x$12.91—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VNCE's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VNCE Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VNCE to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VNCE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VNCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.27
Downside-66%$4.45

Calculated from the latest close: $12.91 on Nov 12.

VNCE trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VNCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.53Q1 2024: $2.04Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $0.11Q4 2024: $0.37Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.23Q3 2025: $-1.35Q4 2025: $-1.48Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $0.57
Q4 2023: $1.53Q1 2024: $2.04Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $0.11Q4 2024: $0.37Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.23Q3 2025: $-1.35Q4 2025: $-1.48Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $0.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.57+$1.92
Q2 2026$0.70+$2.93
Q1 2026$0.49+$2.00
Q4 2025-$1.48-500%
Q3 2025-$1.35-1327%
Q2 2025-$2.23-192%
Q1 2025-$1.51-174%
Q4 2024$0.37-76%

VNCE has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

VNCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $84MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $84MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$81.8M+12%
Q2 2026$64M+11%
Q1 2026$83.7M+4.7%
Q4 2025$85.1M+6.2%
Q3 2025$73.2M-1.3%
Q2 2025$57.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025$80M+6.2%
Q4 2024$80.2M-4.7%

VNCE has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over VNCE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VNCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$17.4M+730%
Q2 2026-$9.1M+$4.1M
Q1 2026$15.5M-27%
Q4 2025-$5.7M-211%
Q3 2025$2.1M+$6M
Q2 2025-$13.2M-$8.6M
Q1 2025$21.2M+49%
Q4 2024$5.1M-21%

VNCE generated $18M in free cash flow over the past year, up 19% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over VNCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VNCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+343K shares
1 year+1.8%+231K shares
3 years+5.7%+710K shares
5 years+11%+1.3M shares
Available history+10%+1.2M shares

VNCE has 13M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over VNCE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VNCE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20243.3xElevated
Q3 20244.4xHigh
Q2 20241.1xHealthy
Q1 20241.2xHealthy
Q4 20231.7xHealthy

VNCE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

VNCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.0Neutral
Stochastic80.2Overbought

VNCE's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VNCE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVNCESector medianRelative
PE23x18x26% above
PE %854738 pts above

VNCE is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

VNCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.89.7% above
20 week MA$8.7647% above
50 week MA$5.72126% above
100 week MA$4.03220% above
200 week MA$3.58261% above

VNCE has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

VNCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.7$5.26-70%
2021$5.26$8.50+62%
2022$8.50$7.72-9.2%
2023$7.72$3.46-55%
2024$3.46$4.02+16%
2025$4.02$4.39+9.2%
2026 YTD$4.39$12.9+194%

VNCE has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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