F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VIPS

Vipshop Holdings Limited

52
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIPS has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VIPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

VIPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIPS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.1x$12.94—
Cheap6.8x$21.18+64%
Fair9.1x$28.63+121%
Expensive18x$57.81+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIPS's PE is 4.1x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VIPS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIPS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$16.03
Downside-19%$10.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.94 on Nov 12.

VIPS trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VIPS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.13+57%
Q1 2026$2.24+7.7%
Q4 2025$2.13-0.9%
Q3 2025$2.06-8.4%
Q2 2025$1.99-13%
Q1 2025$2.08-10%
Q4 2024$2.15-0.9%
Q3 2024$2.25+18%

VIPS has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over VIPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.7B-3.9%
Q1 2026$4B+0.6%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.3%
Q3 2025$3.2B+3.4%
Q2 2025$3.9B-4%
Q1 2025$3.9B-5%
Q4 2024$5B-4.2%
Q3 2024$3.1B-9.2%

VIPS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over VIPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

VIPS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

VIPS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.6M shares
1 year-4.6%-23.7M shares
3 years-13%-71M shares
5 years-30%-213M shares
Available history-28%-187M shares

VIPS has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over VIPS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VIPS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

VIPS has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

VIPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

VIPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIPSSector medianRelative
PE4.1x18x77% below
PE %14746 pts below

VIPS is trading at 4.1x earnings, a 77% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

VIPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.80.8% above
20 week MA$13.54.1% below
50 week MA$15.114% below
100 week MA$15.516% below
200 week MA$15.416% below

VIPS has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over VIPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VIPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$26.3+81%
2021$26.3$8.46-68%
2022$8.46$13.5+59%
2023$13.5$17.8+32%
2024$17.8$13.3-25%
2025$13.3$19.5+46%
2026 YTD$19.5$12.9-34%

VIPS is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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