F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VIK

Viking Holdings Ltd

64
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIK has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VIK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Healthy

VIK's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$88.88—
Current29x$88.88—
Cheap31x$92.52+4.1%
Fair34x$102+15%
Expensive46x$139+56%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIK's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

VIK has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails VIK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$111.31
Downside-19%$72.42

Calculated from the latest close: $88.88 on Nov 12.

VIK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VIK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.00+33%
Q2 2026$3.02+63%
Q1 2026$2.69+119%
Q4 2025$2.57+$3.33
Q3 2025$2.14+$4.52
Q2 2025$1.85+$7.96
Q1 2025$1.23+$7.27
Q4 2024-$0.76+$3.55
Q3 2024-$2.38+$0.10

VIK has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

VIK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.2B+16%
Q1 2026$1.1B+17%
Q4 2025$1.7B+28%
Q3 2025$2B+19%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$897.1M+25%
Q4 2024$1.3B+21%
Q3 2024$1.7B+11%

VIK has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 42% versus its history, compared with VIK at down 68%.

VIK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$179.9M-2765%
Q3 2024$714.5M+81%
Q2 2024$262.9M+196%
Q1 2024$367M+269%
Q4 2023$6.8M+$150.2M

VIK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$397M, but it generated $289M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

VIK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.5M shares
3 years+3.9%+16.6M shares

VIK has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over VIK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VIK Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20244.0xElevated
Q3 202421.7xHigh

VIK's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

VIK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

VIK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIKSector medianRelative
PE29x18x63% above
PE %102414 pts below

VIK is trading at 29x earnings, a 63% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

VIK has stronger trend alignment. F is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus VIK above 3 of 4.

VIK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.05.8% above
20 week MA$90.72% below
50 week MA$83.26.8% above
100 week MA$67.532% above

VIK's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 100-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

VIK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$29.0$44.4+53%
2025$44.4$73.3+65%
2026 YTD$73.3$88.9+21%

VIK has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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